TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff05…18bb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT5244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.07
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.58
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.54
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$403.19
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.72
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.76
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$223.53
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.39
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$94.49
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$158.16
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.02
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.66
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$93.22
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.94
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.77
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+174%+$334.79
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.64
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.09
Hornets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$59.09
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.5
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+55.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.64
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.