TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Nets, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$823,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$831,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f05…8937backed Nets5c62,279$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.3847028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets1c32,028$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.551,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Nets2c31,452$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.0426637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets3c26,000$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8861,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nets2c19,478$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.9336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets3c18,344$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.573,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nets1c15,132$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.721,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Nets5c13,918$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9161851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Nets5c13,538$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.462,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Nets3c11,888$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets2c10,420$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.142,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d30…fad8backed Nets3c10,125$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.489134.1%31 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets4c10,036$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.0861336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Nets3c8,528$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1817042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nets5c7,491$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.5528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets3c7,240$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.81,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Nets3c6,975$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.321417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets4c6,841$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.12,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3491…5909backed Nets4c6,213$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets0c6,005$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.067211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Nets1c5,940$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Nets3c5,679$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets1c5,316$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.581,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Nets4c5,167$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7921350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Nets5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e5e…5778backed Nets6c4,814$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.841717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets3c4,428$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.578783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Nets3c4,390$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.3948944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Nets4c4,386$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2310840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Nets3c4,041$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.088154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8188…0667backed Nets3c4,000$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1067518.7%14 W · 61 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…28dcbacked Nets2c3,934$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.194040%16 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Nets4c3,926$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3224831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b6a…a6ddbacked Nets2c3,813$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.153357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Nets3c3,766$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1516136%58 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets3c3,661$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Nets2c3,566$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2967911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Nets3c3,467$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.163243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets3c2,588$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.961,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Nets3c2,478$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6330845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Nets3c2,436$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6346632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Nets3c2,336$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.739545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets1c2,172$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.233,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0951…14c7backed Nets3c2,000$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets3c2,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.586641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1d9…13d2backed Nets6c2,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Nets5c1,980$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.027143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbad…9e4bbacked Nets4c1,976$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.243455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d5…9e7cbacked Nets6c1,966$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.953834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…ec37backed Nets3c1,948$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+58.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bda…8254backed Nets3c1,942$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed Nets5c1,886$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.328046.8%131 W · 149 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…b93dbacked Nets3c1,656$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ea…b955backed Nets3c1,656$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.093534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Nets3c1,603$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3346342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Nets3c1,589$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.415635.3%55 W · 101 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff05…18bbbacked Nets3c1,570$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.095244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee6f…8b08backed Nets3c1,475$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.72911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Nets1c1,462$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.268923.6%21 W · 68 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…21adbacked Nets3c1,460$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.322650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f0…4e12backed Nets6c1,400$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2771…d030backed Nets3c1,400$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick33cpaid+94.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Nets2c1,388$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1630619.9%61 W · 245 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Nets2c1,234$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Nets2c1,213$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.28825%2 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Nets3c1,196$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1822846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Nets3c1,195$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.077821.8%17 W · 61 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Nets3c1,104$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Nets2c1,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Nets3c1,086$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2523435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets3c1,086$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec5…9bc4backed Nets2c1,010$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.25520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Nets3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2939435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Nets4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Nets4c1,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Nets1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdab…088abacked Nets6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Nets3c1,000$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294254.8%23 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Nets5c980.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.043545.7%16 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Nets3c974.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.256844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Nets3c974.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2533139.3%130 W · 201 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89b…87a6backed Nets5c937.67$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.154339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Nets3c894.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.22532%8 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa75…a864backed Nets4c888$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Nets1c881.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3814731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68aa…ea5ebacked Nets2c880.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf8…4919backed Nets6c872.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Nets3c811.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5417845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Nets6c787.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.257037.1%26 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Nets3c784.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5411926.1%31 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Nets6c770.61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.243554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe430…553bbacked Nets5c759.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d3…4b2bbacked Nets4c753.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.161741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+82.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Nets3c744.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.355213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae29…cf34backed Nets3c724.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.831428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Nets3c724.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.834843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Nets3c707.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.641241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f33…914ebacked Nets3c699.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.573053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Nets6c681.28$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.882133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…9a50backed Nets4c659.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.