NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f417d72c477b8a052faf4d2c72860284c62e921639f4bc27cf1c24ebf5171de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 46c | 10,457$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.71 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 4,327$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 2c | 3,690$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.37 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 58c | 2,459$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.36 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…9e4bbacked Under | 47c | 1,907$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.74 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 53c | 1,540$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.58 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 64c | 1,242$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.49 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 54c | 1,139$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.81 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,122$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 1,049$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 49c | 964.27$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.78 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebb…31ccbacked Under | 48c | 949.36$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 51c | 923.08$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.77 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…7ef8backed Over | 52c | 813.92$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 48c | 751.26$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.34 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 54c | 648.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.54 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 615.47$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.64 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 600.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 54c | 600$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 46c | 554.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 470.66$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 436$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 54c | 424.94$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 42c | 375.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 373.91$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.48 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 362.55$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.02 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 42c | 346.03$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 44c | 332.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 43c | 311.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 46c | 295.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 44c | 293.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 58c | 275.98$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.91 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…e10cbacked Over | 54c | 275.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462b…7ce7backed Under | 47c | 273.03$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41be…6250backed Under | 47c | 271.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 55c | 267.78$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 240.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 41c | 235.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 350 | 52.6%184 W · 166 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 218.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…03e9backed Over | 55c | 205.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 169.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 58c | 141.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Over | 54c | 117.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Over | 56c | 116.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 42c | 115.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 42c | 114.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 48c | 111.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Over | 49c | 111$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 177 | 40.1%71 W · 106 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Under | 44c | 109.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 54c | 108.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 48c | 106.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 54c | 99.81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 53c | 89.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 55c | 89.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Over | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 76c | 79.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Under | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 105 | 23.8%25 W · 80 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…a873backed Over | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Under | 51c | 68.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 47c | 63.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 47c | 61.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 42c | 57.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 53.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 39c | 52.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 24c | 51.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 60c | 48.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8f…273abacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Over | 56c | 44.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 52c | 43.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 45c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 44c | 38.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 41c | 35.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Over | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 42c | 32.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…73debacked Under | 47c | 29.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 51c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 44c | 23.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…fbabbacked Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Over | 53c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64fb…f27cbacked Over | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5this page
- Nets vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 237.5Under won
- Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Raptors (-18.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-19.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-20.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-21.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-22.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-23.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-24.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-25.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-28.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.