NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17cd13781ed6e8d968a3e8621ed36218d25445468dce64eedd42ef15363ecc59

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,030 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Under	49c	10,421$5,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,106.34	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	51c	10,420$5,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,105.8	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	1,090$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$562.21	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	47c	1,065$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.71	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	1,047$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.94	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	53c	1,019$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.15	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	51c	799.32$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.67	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	49c	743.18$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.95	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	49c	488.35$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.5	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	466.13$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.36	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	51c	419.03$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.53	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under	52c	280.15$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.68	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f77…957dbacked Over	50c	273.2$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	50c	250.33$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.82	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under	51c	189.91$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.07	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Over	52c	186.77$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	48c	181.24$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.24	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over	50c	178.48$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.24	248	49.6%123 W · 125 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Under	50c	174$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	86	52.3%45 W · 41 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under	51c	140.89$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.56	175	47.4%83 W · 92 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	50c	130.45$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.23	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	51c	125.98$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.67	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under	49c	98.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	44c	96.64$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.12	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	47c	94.34$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under	53c	91.68$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.59	185	52.4%97 W · 88 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under	50c	63.53$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.77	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe291…9806backed Under	50c	58.2$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+42.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7663…c9aabacked Over	51c	57.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+6.7wins	+0.31per pick	47cpaid	+64%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Under	45c	53.72$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.18	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over	50c	53.07$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.54	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over	50c	52.38$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.19	153	51%78 W · 75 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under	50c	48.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.25	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…fa34backed Over	50c	48.5$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.25	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	49c	45.58$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+5.4wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9fe5…7936backed Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under	49c	36.17$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	46c	36.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.71	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over	50c	29.1$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over	54c	27.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.52	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under	50c	23.08$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	185	48.1%89 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	50c	22.52$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Nets vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event