TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,125

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,654 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafaf…1635backed Nets40c1,250$500 inLost-$5001,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Raptors61c1,115$685 inWon+$430.1117249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Raptors66c1,088$721 inWon+$367.021,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets35c858.47$298 inLost-$297.542,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Nets25c713.58$178 inLost-$178.391,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets37c708.79$262 inLost-$262.251,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Raptors63c514.05$324 inWon+$190.21,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Nets25c476.55$119 inLost-$119.1421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors60c384.58$232 inWon+$152.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets39c325.35$126 inLost-$126.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Nets42c241.24$100 inLost-$100.3614731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors72c198.61$143 inWon+$55.613,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Raptors63c185.7$117 inWon+$68.7128949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets36c167.52$61 inLost-$61.13,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Raptors63c155.21$98 inWon+$57.4316959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors67c126.45$85 inWon+$41.732,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Raptors64c113.68$73 inWon+$40.7344345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Nets48c111.22$53 inLost-$53.4810149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Nets40c109.68$44 inLost-$43.8749247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Raptors63c77.6$49 inWon+$28.7152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors64c65.18$42 inWon+$23.42,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nets35c60.2$21 inLost-$20.9756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Nets35c54.1$19 inLost-$18.8558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors63c51.78$33 inWon+$19.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Nets37c47.84$18 inLost-$17.5641449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Nets34c47.84$16 inLost-$16.3810447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Raptors69c42.67$29 inWon+$13.2312159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Raptors49c39$19 inWon+$19.8980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Nets34c38.66$13 inLost-$13.2865630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Raptors77c38.42$30 inWon+$8.8429665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Nets39c35.45$14 inLost-$13.822857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets36c34.52$12 inLost-$12.3963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nets34c30.73$10 inLost-$10.481,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Raptors68c28.66$20 inWon+$9.045754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd152…8326backed Raptors73c19.68$14 inWon+$5.311136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb510…762bbacked Raptors63c19.41$12 inWon+$7.185848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.