TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-22.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,249
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,249 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors50c6,515$3,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2731,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Nets45c5,133$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.024957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets49c3,527$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715.022,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Raptors55c2,686$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.781,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets48c2,632$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.452,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Raptors61c2,448$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.5483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nets49c2,252$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Raptors57c1,714$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.894652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Nets1c1,483$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.737316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors50c1,084$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.0889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Nets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets43c905.06$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets33c670.37$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.323,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors51c557.16$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.414,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Raptors51c537.3$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Nets48c499.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4b…cc06backed Nets45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Raptors52c399.84$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.921,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Raptors47c397.54$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.78348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Nets49c385.44$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.891,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Nets53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.362842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Raptors53c354.55$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.7363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Raptors59c314.85$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.671,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Raptors47c290.06$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.738652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Nets34c278.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0736248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Raptors60c262.43$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.971,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Nets43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f73…6d1cbacked Nets45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.71560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08da…fab4backed Nets52c213.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Nets41c212.29$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.787248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfad7…3780backed Raptors48c208.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Raptors48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10421147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Nets49c180.77$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Raptors49c180.4$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.2511143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Nets14c170.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Nets42c165.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.538942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Raptors50c164.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.42,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Nets41c140.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5110149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors60c136.3$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.683,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Nets43c131.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Raptors52c125.32$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Raptors52c125.26$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.121,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Raptors53c119.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5671654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Raptors53c118$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4619254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Raptors48c113.14$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8321350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Nets43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2944347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Nets43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.297646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Nets43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2925348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Nets43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2911653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors50c105$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.382,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Nets38c96.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.591,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54c…4aafbacked Raptors55c91.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…c02fbacked Nets47c91.01$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb29…0b62backed Raptors52c90.25$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.324158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors50c80.51$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.266,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…fc1abacked Nets51c78.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.984942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Raptors56c76.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6610945.9%50 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nets41c76.35$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.951,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Nets46c67.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1621849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Nets43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9757051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Nets46c65.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0426651.1%136 W · 130 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Nets45c61.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.796876.5%52 W · 16 L+12.8wins+0.19per pick58cpaid+29.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Raptors49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2723652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Raptors55c58.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2712458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Raptors52c58.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9720558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Nets43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1537853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Raptors50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Nets47c49.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2425850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb900…3818backed Nets49c49.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Raptors52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4153348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Nets50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Nets52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4256454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Raptors53c36.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.541,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Nets47c36.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.993948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbee…bcc6backed Raptors48c35.22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed Nets45c34.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.673554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Raptors56c34.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156854.4%37 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5e…a91dbacked Raptors48c31.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.62650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Raptors50c30.92$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4640546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Nets53c30.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0852861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Nets44c30.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2316020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc046…ba92backed Raptors48c29.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.454100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7363…1198backed Raptors48c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+65%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Nets42c28.96$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f92…aa05backed Raptors48c27.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+73%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Raptors60c26.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbee…30b9backed Nets45c25.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6113140.5%53 W · 78 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Nets47c23.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9243052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets51c23.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.823,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Raptors57c21.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4859255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe891…3be8backed Raptors50c21.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd464…a0ebbacked Raptors48c21.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Raptors58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3465630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x12e2…3c85backed Raptors55c19.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.763971.8%28 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xedf8…c30ebacked Raptors52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.