TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-23.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,044
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,044 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Nets48c24,658$11,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,843.544957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Nets47c13,454$6,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,323.5454539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors52c10,220$5,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,905.61,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Raptors53c9,857$5,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,632.781,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets47c9,754$4,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.231,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Raptors53c7,393$3,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.5832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Raptors53c7,344$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.7890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Raptors47c4,312$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.691,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets49c2,868$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets47c2,665$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.714,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Raptors53c1,964$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.931,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Raptors52c1,868$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.4964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets55c1,737$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.472,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Raptors50c1,599$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.021,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors59c1,127$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.893,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Nets50c1,092$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.957349.3%36 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nets48c1,003$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.31,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Raptors52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Raptors53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7562948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38865349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Nets51c685.72$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.051,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Nets48c558.17$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9214061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Nets56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2806352.4%33 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets48c461.51$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.531,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets49c455.56$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.654,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Raptors53c454.73$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7213644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Nets46c420.7$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.527448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Raptors49c395.77$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Raptors53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.711451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Raptors50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19418643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Raptors53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.365633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Nets49c358.46$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.6412857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Raptors53c356.08$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3629848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Raptors52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked Raptors51c284.02$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1718839.9%75 W · 113 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Raptors50c279.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.853828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf97d…b295backed Raptors51c236.29$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.782035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Raptors53c203.11$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4649852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…7ee5backed Raptors51c200.26$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.135040%20 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Raptors52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Raptors52c184.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7533748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Nets48c164.2$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.821,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3e…6d3fbacked Nets45c147.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.773948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Raptors43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcddb…55c5backed Raptors52c129.77$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.77425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Nets57c126.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1914731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…aeefbacked Nets49c126.02$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Raptors52c124.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6123549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Nets53c118.56$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8434247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors43c100.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4519937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Raptors80c98.75$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7537848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Raptors52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f47…6397backed Nets49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Nets49c96.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.510657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Raptors52c92.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.36858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Raptors53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Raptors53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0938453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Nets54c90.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6125348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Nets48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Nets49c79.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7813554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets50c72.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Raptors49c67.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae29…cf34backed Nets44c65.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Nets57c65.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Raptors53c58.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.459650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Nets47c57.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Raptors52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8912855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Raptors52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2445251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Nets49c48.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7516951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5367…dfc1backed Nets51c40.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Nets48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.389446.8%44 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Nets48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3851946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Raptors43c39.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6237753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Nets52c39.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4431953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Raptors53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2423546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ce…8945backed Raptors53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.242842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x050d…d5b0backed Raptors53c36.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.067550.7%38 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Nets50c34.92$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4636350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Raptors53c34.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3715053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets50c32.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.411,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Nets60c32.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3269049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Nets48c32.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.461,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors48c30.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.142,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Nets50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5585248.9%417 W · 435 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1311648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1344347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1353348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1335052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1337647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.137646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.131,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.138755.2%48 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1358953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1337853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1311653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Nets50c24.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1319254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.