TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b6a…a6dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.43
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$252.83
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.76
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$133.11
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$76.03
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.9
Hornets vs. Magic: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.62
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.41
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.29
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$42.58
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.15
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$37.45
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.69
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$64.25
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$120
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.31
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$91.88
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$39.69
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$18.54
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$92.86
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$189.31
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$50.91
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.64
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.27
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.28
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.29
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$38.87
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.26
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.19
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.76
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.34
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$80.48
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Alabama A&M Bulldogsbacked Alabama A&M Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.57
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Georgetown Hoyas vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.13
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.4
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Marshall Thundering Herdbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.03
Memphis Tigers vs. Tulane Green Wavebacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+204%+$30.36
All 25 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.