NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x738a4e35c5595bf7bc6fdf8cbf9fbfd60dd18fe623ff33d84ae776c72286f607
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Pistons | 42c | 4,044$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.82 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,366$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Pistons | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Pistons | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.06 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Cavaliers | 56c | 606.06$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.33 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 454.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Pistons | 44c | 452.61$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.46 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 56c | 401.89$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.76 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Pistons | 72c | 397.04$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 56c | 396$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Cavaliers | 6c | 277.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 255$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cavaliers | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Pistons | 44c | 204.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Pistons | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Pistons | 77c | 146.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…a6ddbacked Pistons | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Pistons | 48c | 108.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Pistons | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Cavaliers | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers | 56c | 96.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons | 24c | 78.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…a1c7backed Cavaliers | 58c | 69.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Pistons | 72c | 64.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Cavaliers | 57c | 59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 387 | 36.4%141 W · 246 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cavaliers | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Cavaliers | 56c | 49.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5345…666abacked Pistons | 48c | 49.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Cavaliers | 56c | 48.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Pistons | 44c | 47.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Pistons | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Cavaliers | 57c | 44.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa4…1c02backed Pistons | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Pistons | 44c | 42.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…7e93backed Cavaliers | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Pistons | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 40c | 30.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Pistons | 76c | 27.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Pistons | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Pistons | 59c | 25.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.