NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a808b9be40d77325e701864d1c948bec7c15cb05b880f0b9d616476298efed

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $144,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,947 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	0c	52,855$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.86	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1449…a618backed Under	3c	7,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under	34c	6,200$2,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,107.98	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	66c	4,938$3,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,692.51	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	67c	3,855$2,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.24	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Over	66c	3,462$2,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.54	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under	35c	2,827$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.59	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Over	75c	2,124$1,593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.98	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under	4c	1,879$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.6	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+12.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under	35c	1,716$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.17	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	38c	1,678$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.14	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under	36c	1,667$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	3c	1,562$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.01	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over	66c	1,515$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.15	690	49.4%341 W · 349 L	-30.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over	68c	1,463$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.1	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	41c	1,454$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	38c	1,364$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.35	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	42c	1,330$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.79	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	34c	1,208$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.78	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	5c	1,062$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.18	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	43c	951.91$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.15	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	27c	886.2$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.18	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…ace4backed Over	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Over	60c	860$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.4	58	29.3%17 W · 41 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	34c	853.1$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.84	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Over	60c	800$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	36c	786.28$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.19	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	34c	783.03$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.49	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under	40c	760$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	66c	750.5$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.39	184	45.7%84 W · 100 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over	67c	741.04$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.04	253	60.1%152 W · 101 L	+26.2wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	42c	651.33$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.1	528	61.9%327 W · 201 L	+32.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over	66c	606.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.06	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	36c	600$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	64c	592.41$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.49	1,200	51.6%619 W · 581 L	+66.5wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over	67c	555.25$374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.05	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over	59c	550$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.5	313	54.3%170 W · 143 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Under	34c	540.71$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.3wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under	28c	524.9$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.97	66	36.4%24 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	27c	507$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.45	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	37	67.6%25 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Over	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Over	54c	499.96$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.98	59	71.2%42 W · 17 L	+10.3wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Over	66c	499.92$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.97	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	65cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	45c	491.38$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.36	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe540…2108backed Under	36c	488.69$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under	36c	479.99$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over	67c	447.88$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.88	241	59.8%144 W · 97 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Over	66c	444.23$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.23	30	60%18 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	36c	421.2$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.63	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over	63c	414.99$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.36	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over	58c	409.77$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.59	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	42c	400$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over	65c	384.62$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.62	137	57.7%79 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	34c	371.54$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.09	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under	34c	356.22$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	81	58%47 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	10c	353.26$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.94	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over	64c	312.5$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-6.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Over	64c	296.88$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.88	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under	34c	295.85$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.59	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Over	66c	294.98$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.29	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-3.6wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under	35c	280.04$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.01	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Under	34c	272.06$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.5	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Under	34c	254.71$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.6	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	19c	246.75$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.26	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Under	6c	241.55$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.49	55	40%22 W · 33 L	+5.3wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over	68c	235.22$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.27	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-16.2wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under	34c	200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	854	49.4%422 W · 432 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Under	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over	66c	199.99$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.99	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f3…d56cbacked Over	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over	68c	149.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.4	332	58.7%195 W · 137 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Over	65c	149.94$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.48	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	18c	149$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.52	454	45.2%205 W · 249 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	68c	146.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.46	611	51.4%314 W · 297 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under	17c	141.2$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	335	56.7%190 W · 145 L	+26.4wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e0f…c9bfbacked Over	66c	140.82$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.88	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb547…ba49backed Over	56c	138$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.8	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+89.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	46c	134.3$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under	46c	134.3$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	210	46.2%97 W · 113 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under	46c	134.3$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.78	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-11.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	65c	129.55$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.54	602	50.5%304 W · 298 L	+14.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	33c	128.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over	68c	125$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	30	80%24 W · 6 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	62c	120.01$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.8	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	43c	120$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over	78c	118.18$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.68	216	40.3%87 W · 129 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	65c	116$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.6	612	53.1%325 W · 287 L	-20.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6425…66c5backed Over	66c	113.83$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.7	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Under	35c	110$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over	58c	109.24$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.88	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f46…76f5backed Over	59c	108.63$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.62	36	69.4%25 W · 11 L	+4.9wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over	64c	102.77$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…7328backed Over	66c	100$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed Under	34c	99.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	68c	98.89$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	319	53%169 W · 150 L	+11.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under	46c	96.39$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.34	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	26c	94.89$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf3c…bec3backed Over	68c	93.94$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.06	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbea…5b1abacked Under	34c	93.06$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5this page
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event