NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb880a18bac13e3cc430f29f9b235aee06a8922b90abfe102ea4d7f655b50c90e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Cavaliers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 53c | 81,090$42,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,905.87 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pistons | 47c | 80,000$37,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,400 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pistons | 47c | 68,675$32,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,397.96 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Pistons | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 52c | 21,216$11,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,032.1 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cavaliers | 53c | 18,569$9,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,841.57 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 17,400$9,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,048 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…2fadbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 16,500$8,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,745 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 15,300$8,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,109 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Pistons | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 15c | 13,141$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 11,252$5,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,963.56 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Pistons | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 52c | 7,032$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,656.66 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Pistons | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,640 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…b042backed Cavaliers | 52c | 6,266$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 5,854$3,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.29 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Pistons | 48c | 5,737$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.24 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Pistons | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Pistons | 59c | 5,125$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 5,075$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 47c | 4,995$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.11 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,360$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 4,057$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.32 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,328$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Pistons | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,870$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.3 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 2,394$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,242$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Pistons | 48c | 1,504$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.13 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe193…cc85backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Cavaliers | 5c | 1,433$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Pistons | 48c | 1,428$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.35 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,409$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.43 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 28c | 1,207$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.35 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Cavaliers | 5c | 1,116$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Pistons | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…55a2backed Pistons | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Pistons | 48c | 1,015$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.74 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Pistons | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Cavaliers | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Pistons | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 72c | 999.97$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Cavaliers | 28c | 999.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Pistons | 52c | 946.15$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.15 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pistons | 69c | 910.57$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 904.99$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.9 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Pistons | 48c | 843.54$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers | 27c | 828.05$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.82 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pistons | 49c | 795.9$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.07 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pistons | 66c | 780.97$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.69 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 777$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.81 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 31c | 733.6$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 732.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Cavaliers | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…b655backed Cavaliers | 52c | 648$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Cavaliers | 53c | 644.68$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.68 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 631.37$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 625.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 17c | 621.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cavaliers | 2c | 611$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 573.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.03 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pistons | 50c | 571.06$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Pistons | 48c | 537.5$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pistons | 67c | 531.29$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.52 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Pistons | 52c | 511.54$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.54 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Pistons | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pistons | 67c | 497.53$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Cavaliers | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 450$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Cavaliers | 6c | 430$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde6b…fae0backed Pistons | 48c | 416.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Cavaliers | 47c | 410$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Pistons | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Cavaliers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 371.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 344.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…d301backed Cavaliers | 41c | 343$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.06 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 338.51$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Pistons | 48c | 313$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.76 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pistons | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Pistons | 48c | 308$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.16 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Pistons | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Cavaliers | 54c | 294.61$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.