TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,190
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,190 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Over38c7,428$2,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,854.11,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under61c7,152$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over39c3,908$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.082,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under61c3,240$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.716743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over38c2,258$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.9718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under61c1,750$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2efa…8a01backed Under65c1,567$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.396352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under64c1,511$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.866250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over36c1,348$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over22c1,252$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over17c1,245$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under74c1,080$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4311558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under62c1,064$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.131,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeae…523dbacked Under78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2204946.9%23 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over36c999.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under70c714.75$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.631,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under62c567.74$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7418241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over37c510.03$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8117042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under64c444$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8422656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1928541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14411437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Under65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14012851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over29c389.07$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c380$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over27c362.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over26c356.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.262,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under73c316.59$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.11,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6913757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under53c307$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.362,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c300$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over25c270.92$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over41c244.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under73c214.6$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.238043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over35c193$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over24c185.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under62c175.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.871,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under65c125$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7531953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over34c124.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4161151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over34c122.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7423445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under65c116$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4461253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over31c104.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c103.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under73c102.32$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3230055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over36c98.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1510743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3910…e694backed Under62c88.81$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over35c81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.352,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e1…bc53backed Under64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1812…c143backed Under79c76.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413871.1%27 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Under54c53.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6321574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over26c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over27c42.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over38c41.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1627539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed Under64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.417236%62 W · 110 L-19.3wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under66c39.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over42c38.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.088852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a2…8ea4backed Over31c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c34.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over40c32.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1833…cc31backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.857549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Under72c27.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8214931.5%47 W · 102 L-18.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under66c22.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6119360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x404f…f2a1backed Under62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.65457.4%31 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2f…a285backed Under59c19.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.011353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under64c19.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8621149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under61c17.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under64c16.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.959157.1%52 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.