TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over53c26,851$14,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,677.569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Over55c22,519$12,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,188.122356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c10,038$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.1455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under47c8,730$4,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,103.075345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Under13c8,264$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.35540%22 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under47c8,255$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,88014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under47c6,809$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over62c5,905$3,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.7593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under47c5,532$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c5,149$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42021943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under47c5,106$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40018349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c3,628$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.441,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c3,576$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.44,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c3,215$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under47c3,191$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5005940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under47c2,328$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10218343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c2,308$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.8865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c1,974$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.378,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.8540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under45c1,839$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.2117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over54c1,837$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.6252461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under45c1,556$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c1,531$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.252,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under46c1,460$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over56c1,339$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.2921957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under8c1,177$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.194746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under43c1,102$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.8461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42020856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Over55c972.78$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.752860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under14c934$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c868.49$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.981,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under49c816.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over54c783.24$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.684465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over54c699.98$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.8562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c645$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under44c500.73$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.5110545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c487.04$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.047643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c483.57$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.12,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ab…675ebacked Over54c407.2$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.311450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over53c406.3$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.961,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under45c404$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.81,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over58c400$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16831354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c396.95$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.3389850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Under52c374.29$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.633953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.377146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over54c367.61$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.13164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over53c362.7$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6813759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over70c348.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.493141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over71c300$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.52450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Over54c259.26$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.266659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c199.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.321,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fb…e26abacked Over54c190$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under13c188$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1913757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under46c182.61$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over59c179.25$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under13c166$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5824936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Under53c165.34$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.636956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over53c161.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02dc…a212backed Over54c159.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.052356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under13c154.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c154.05$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.311,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Over54c153.28$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5110847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over53c148.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a75…e444backed Over49c141.69$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over52c141$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6813638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under44c137.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0325651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under45c119.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7210941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under46c118.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.631,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under44c112.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0610746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over73c111.11$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3031953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under47c106.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd026…1245backed Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522030%6 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010843.5%47 W · 61 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Under52c99.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.998850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6219…72dabacked Over52c94.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over54c91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1534850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Over54c89.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.519445.9%89 W · 105 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over52c88.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.744468.2%30 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over64c83.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2216867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over54c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8866143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3b…583bbacked Over55c69.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…da4fbacked Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over55c63.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3212254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f054backed Under53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…886abacked Under53c61.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.228252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.