NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7eca4b0dfde7022b57800aa5fdcbb81caffb01549639ffece691a4d6144b4c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Over | 49c | 57,000$27,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,929.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 36,000$18,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,639.96 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 51c | 28,695$14,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,609.56 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Under | 53c | 28,249$14,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,276.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 27,932$14,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,070.94 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 47c | 26,763$12,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,090.01 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 47c | 20,744$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.78 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.93 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 50c | 19,465$9,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,700.82 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 17,768$8,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,677.84 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 58c | 17,504$10,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,201.23 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 51c | 15,687$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,724.41 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 12,969$6,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 11,946$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,973.07 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 51c | 10,000$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,092.54 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…702bbacked Under | 50c | 8,170$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…1f29backed Under | 49c | 8,170$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,166.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 57c | 8,158$4,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.44 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…c0d5backed Under | 52c | 7,846$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,766.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 7,600$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.99 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 50c | 6,447$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,223.7 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 51c | 6,171$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.81 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Over | 51c | 5,881$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Over | 51c | 5,799$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.75 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Under | 50c | 5,050$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Under | 51c | 4,903$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.39 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 52c | 4,621$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.96 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 48c | 4,496$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 45c | 4,457$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 3,843$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.14 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Over | 48c | 3,294$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 49c | 3,131$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.02 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15ab…97b6backed Over | 48c | 3,053$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 51c | 3,041$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.28 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 49c | 2,669$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.81 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 57c | 2,663$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.31 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 51c | 2,655$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.84 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Under | 40c | 2,572$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.95 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…6aabbacked Under | 48c | 2,440$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Over | 56c | 2,325$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 2,188$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 2,134$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.9 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…cbe4backed Under | 53c | 2,047$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.91 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 50c | 2,044$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.31 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cc…0b39backed Under | 52c | 2,005$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.49 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 48c | 1,882$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.66 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Under | 51c | 1,825$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.27 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 1,777$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.02 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 51c | 1,743$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.04 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 1,703$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.38 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 1,638$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 47c | 1,609$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.89 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 1,535$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 1,347$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.23 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 50c | 1,311$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.07 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 1,221$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.09 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 49c | 1,177$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.54 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 1,156$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.97 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 50c | 1,150$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 50c | 1,080$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.93 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d0…6219backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316b…5d97backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 944$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.24 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 47c | 943.4$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.55 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 50c | 910.61$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.96 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 70c | 862.93$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 49c | 848$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.52 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 826.87$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.73 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 47c | 779$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 47c | 648.11$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.62 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…da6dbacked Over | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 609.13$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 50c | 587$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 62c | 579.36$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 561.8$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 49c | 551.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 51c | 531$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Under | 47c | 530.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.51 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 52c | 513.46$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.46 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 201.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 208.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.