TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$461,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$468,133

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Over49c57,000$27,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,929.994951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c36,000$18,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,639.9615952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c28,695$14,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,609.5669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f8…8ea0backed Under53c28,249$14,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,276.991258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c27,932$14,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,070.9464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Under47c26,763$12,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,090.0185742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over47c20,744$9,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,749.7815545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.931,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over50c19,465$9,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,700.8289444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c17,768$8,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,677.8455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over58c17,504$10,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,201.231,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under51c15,687$7,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,724.4114842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c12,969$6,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under50c11,946$5,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.071,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over51c10,000$5,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.5461638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…702bbacked Under50c8,170$4,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,085366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x936b…1f29backed Under49c8,170$4,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,166.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over57c8,158$4,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.4430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7871…c0d5backed Under52c7,846$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c7,600$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,817.9918749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under50c6,447$3,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,223.75940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under51c6,171$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.8121943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Over51c5,881$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.212339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over51c5,799$2,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.7565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under50c5,050$2,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5251060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4852…67c4backed Under51c4,903$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,383.395655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under52c4,621$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.965345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over48c4,496$2,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1582653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over45c4,457$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96011654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.155940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c3,843$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.1438946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Over48c3,294$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5813256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under49c3,131$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.021,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ab…97b6backed Over48c3,053$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c3,041$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.2863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over49c2,669$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.8132846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over57c2,663$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.311,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over51c2,655$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.8453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Under40c2,572$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.9520856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25017052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f19…6aabbacked Under48c2,440$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.871040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Over56c2,325$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.331850%9 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c2,188$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.026,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c2,134$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.964651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd988…cbe4backed Under53c2,047$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.911625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-53.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over50c2,044$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.3142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Under52c2,005$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.493953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under48c1,882$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.6636243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Under51c1,825$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.2710556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c1,777$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.0293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c1,743$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.0462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c1,703$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c1,638$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under47c1,609$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.8911946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over45c1,535$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c1,347$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.2390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over50c1,311$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over61c1,221$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.091,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61232957.4%189 W · 140 L+18.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57633945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6122171.4%15 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c1,177$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.5466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c1,156$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.971,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Over50c1,150$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5753441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Over50c1,080$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.934332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020057%114 W · 86 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d0…6219backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316b…5d97backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe361…5ff5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c944$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.242,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over47c943.4$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5534255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under50c910.61$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.9649249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over70c862.93$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over49c848$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.523243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c826.87$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.731,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013037.7%49 W · 81 L-14.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over47c779$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over47c648.11$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8873…da6dbacked Over48c645.83$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under50c609.13$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5713161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c587$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under62c579.36$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.7546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c561.8$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over49c551.02$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27015543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over51c531$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.0576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Under47c530.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.512853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under52c513.46$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.4618343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.