TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$902,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,006,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $902,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 488 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers52c160,774$83,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83,458.3169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks50c149,955$75,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,379.964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks48c123,349$59,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,141.2818651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Cavaliers50c101,827$50,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,895.065940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Cavaliers52c86,771$45,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,120.733844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Cavaliers49c64,831$31,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,767.132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks48c38,600$18,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,071.9335744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed Knicks48c37,809$18,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,660.522466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+60.8%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Cavaliers52c35,598$18,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,510.937650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks48c21,558$10,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,272.631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers51c20,955$10,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,773.054,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Cavaliers53c20,068$10,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,635.9210459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers53c19,999$10,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.4714538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Knicks48c19,606$9,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,195.116651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks49c17,993$8,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9755251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Knicks48c17,915$8,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,315.641471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers52c16,956$8,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,816.9626753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Knicks47c16,491$7,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,668.8224942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks48c15,625$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,12563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Knicks48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80010248%49 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Cavaliers51c11,355$5,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,790.8716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2821…a869backed Knicks47c10,000$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,298.781145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks48c10,000$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25025352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Cavaliers50c9,995$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.534042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Knicks50c8,249$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,124.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers53c8,200$4,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,34612056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Cavaliers53c7,408$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.9917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks48c6,747$3,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.261,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x639c…31e2backed Cavaliers52c6,729$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4993540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Cavaliers52c6,729$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4995935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks48c6,569$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.8184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Knicks47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9947856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5f…6816backed Cavaliers50c6,190$3,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,095366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Knicks48c6,042$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,141.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00018445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Cavaliers46c5,888$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.472050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c5,769$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,032.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Cavaliers51c5,700$2,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.292245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks54c5,396$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.391,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.049725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9810049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Knicks47c4,760$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.7738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Cavaliers52c4,635$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Cavaliers51c4,304$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.9414441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Knicks48c4,099$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.3115336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Knicks48c4,088$1,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.0110046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Knicks49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.637963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks47c4,000$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks49c3,967$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Cavaliers50c3,856$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9284951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Cavaliers52c3,786$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.821943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks48c3,781$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.0512451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers51c3,600$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.421,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Knicks48c3,511$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,825.485119.6%10 W · 41 L-10.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Cavaliers50c3,476$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.845442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Knicks48c3,229$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.1720945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks78c3,143$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.9842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Knicks50c3,079$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.581872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers53c3,057$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Cavaliers51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5304744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…1e3fbacked Cavaliers52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Cavaliers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Knicks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Knicks50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10e7…ee84backed Cavaliers52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Knicks50c2,858$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers51c2,844$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.0986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks52c2,704$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.4358740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Knicks49c2,587$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.375358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers52c2,457$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.8243438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Knicks50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2008532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Knicks47c2,115$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.6611759.8%70 W · 47 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Knicks48c2,041$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.448354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers52c2,019$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.882,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Knicks51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9803743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed Cavaliers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d99…d5c2backed Cavaliers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Knicks48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0407143.7%31 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-19.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe474…2c56backed Cavaliers52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Cavaliers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cavaliers51c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers51c2,000$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,029.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Cavaliers51c1,991$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.273641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cavaliers52c1,926$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks65c1,869$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.0853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Knicks48c1,824$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.641861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers50c1,772$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.764,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers17c1,712$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.171,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Knicks50c1,677$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.453655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Knicks47c1,548$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.372,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Cavaliers53c1,543$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8185431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Cavaliers8c1,441$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2915644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks51c1,385$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.81,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Cavaliers9c1,287$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.839349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Knicks50c1,281$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks57c1,273$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.8811258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks47c1,269$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.5732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62415246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.