TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$133,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under37c27,491$10,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,153.215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70025352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over69c8,914$6,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,744.2824159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.5111654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Over71c7,064$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.545567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over63c6,126$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.5924847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over66c5,248$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,764.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under28c4,097$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.34738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under31c3,387$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.4442842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under29c3,268$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.036437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c3,090$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.618,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over57c2,882$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.5693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under32c2,086$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.531,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under36c1,800$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6561,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under20c1,708$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.0953842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under16c1,669$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.61,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under28c1,643$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.231,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c1,593$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.741,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under40c1,543$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.8934255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over79c1,317$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6516555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over76c1,317$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda39…c640backed Under38c1,297$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under13c1,099$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.771,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over61c1,066$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5718853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under29c1,046$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under43c1,015$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.5927463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under18c1,008$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.441,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4302352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Under21c987$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.739139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c967.43$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.691,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45b5…2d74backed Over51c936.71$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.996543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Under38c770.05$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.622744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over55c734.48$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.9430551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over71c665$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.031,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under37c646.64$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c621.74$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6330842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over79c564.37$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.611261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Over64c553.73$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.348263.4%52 W · 30 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over71c484.83$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.4215648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under19c484$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1931345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over64c471.15$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0646959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over61c461.57$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0952861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under36c450.19$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under26c447.51$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under49c414.53$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.125743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under37c400$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over62c399.39$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.421,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over63c352.38$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.386956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under31c349.22$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over71c341.34$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4821953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over68c336.29$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.091181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under26c334$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0524936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under20c322.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1917237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under36c307.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0552150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Over63c302.87$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.063053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Under23c292$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5726639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Over64c287.5$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.59558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under38c270.6$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under31c254$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over79c249.48$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.244560%27 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under25c247$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.576334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over71c244.33$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over62c229.98$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3924955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under39c226.53$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under36c208.33$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over62c206.9$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6212451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over67c196.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6436051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Under34c195.37$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under38c175.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5521147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over63c171.18$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.342,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under26c166$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.166524.6%16 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc348…9f08backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.738654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc51…674abacked Over73c158.25$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.282755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a79…8e4cbacked Over73c137.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.631346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over62c136.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Under21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.216640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Under21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.221242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over76c113.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.831,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Under27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9716429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over66c110.39$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.537152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Under21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c96.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x046a…0a3ebacked Under47c95.41$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under13c95.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4604…d57dbacked Under20c92.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.011040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Under38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.24151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under39c85.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9119959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over64c83.58$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0962144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over80c76.94$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65b…8452backed Over62c76.21$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.211838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c71.12$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1460250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Under26c68.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.755461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under24c63.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5216033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under37c63.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec5…4168backed Over64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.