TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,281 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa080…234fbacked Cavaliers32c14,043$4,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,493.8514842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks68c7,880$5,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.5964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks68c6,055$4,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.4525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cavaliers31c3,442$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.0120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Cavaliers32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9844337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks68c2,726$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.348,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Cavaliers33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010548.6%51 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks68c1,789$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.132,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Knicks69c1,647$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.851758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Cavaliers33c1,627$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.591866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Cavaliers32c1,580$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Cavaliers32c1,500$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.136341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks68c1,500$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9943352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers31c1,437$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.131,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks69c1,435$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.7752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Knicks68c1,303$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.963148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks67c1,300$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Cavaliers31c994.11$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1748343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks68c889.56$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6618445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Cavaliers33c803.41$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2692744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Knicks68c799.99$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25636453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Cavaliers32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25021142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88ae…809abacked Knicks69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Knicks66c654.96$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.7215644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Knicks71c633.8$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Cavaliers30c633.71$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1114731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7798…8199backed Cavaliers32c613.84$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.432060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Knicks68c399.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12846426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Cavaliers32c378.13$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12126233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks67c368.21$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.641,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers31c360.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Cavaliers29c326.86$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7945850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a2…3538backed Cavaliers31c308.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.791464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Cavaliers32c305.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7427745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Cavaliers33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Knicks68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1213757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks73c242.81$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.431,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers30c233.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021450%107 W · 107 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Knicks69c221.74$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.744751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba3…c891backed Knicks68c220.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.59875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Knicks69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers25c196.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Cavaliers32c179.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca2…03cfbacked Cavaliers34c172.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.392733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Knicks61c162.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.94652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c46…97afbacked Cavaliers31c160.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Knicks68c151.32$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4227553.5%147 W · 128 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks70c149.39$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…d981backed Knicks72c148.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Cavaliers34c147.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf82f…d3f2backed Cavaliers32c145.19$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.46683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+77.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Cavaliers30c133.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9940548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…6b56backed Cavaliers31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358355.4%46 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks70c100.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Cavaliers34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346619.7%13 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Cavaliers28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2826345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks67c98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.342,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe999…199bbacked Cavaliers32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302548%12 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Knicks68c90$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.85671.4%40 W · 16 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Knicks67c80.65$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.363661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36c…ce01backed Cavaliers31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Cavaliers32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Knicks69c76.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.511291.7%11 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick73cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed Cavaliers25c75.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d5…cf40backed Knicks68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa621…6e29backed Cavaliers31c66.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Cavaliers31c65.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f9…7368backed Cavaliers31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed Cavaliers33c63.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e0…fe5dbacked Cavaliers32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Cavaliers32c59.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.911233.9%38 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Cavaliers33c57.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Knicks70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.142669.2%18 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…2cacbacked Cavaliers32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Cavaliers30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Knicks70c48.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.58247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb6…9e4dbacked Knicks68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126259.7%37 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7da…8dc2backed Cavaliers32c43.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146955.1%38 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd558…a218backed Knicks71c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick76cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks68c40.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Cavaliers31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked Cavaliers34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Cavaliers30c36.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Cavaliers32c34.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks68c32.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Knicks67c32.2$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6315650.6%79 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers32c32.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.21,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks69c31.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8732045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Knicks66c30.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4421149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Knicks70c28.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6410061%61 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57b…6783backed Knicks69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Knicks68c24.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.977353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Knicks69c24.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.562070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f97…6aafbacked Knicks68c23.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.535151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9cc…59abbacked Knicks69c23.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.14057.5%23 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+31.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Knicks69c20.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Knicks79c19.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.216033.1%53 W · 107 L-17.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x235d…5f76backed Knicks69c18.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Knicks68c18.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.776949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.