NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01840bdb136540c6b1b0cb24b388fc5329a752fbd2fb305bd6361407d318eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 24c | 9,721$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.07 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 4c | 7,615$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.25 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 6c | 7,388$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.34 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 76c | 3,623$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.39 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 3,098$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.63 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 76c | 2,987$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.29 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Over | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 5c | 2,519$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 9c | 2,096$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 14c | 1,706$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.6 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Over | 76c | 1,700$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 1c | 1,302$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 13c | 1,301$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.13 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 13c | 1,279$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 24c | 983.7$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.09 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…fe9ebacked Over | 72c | 882.93$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…77aabacked Under | 25c | 879.98$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881e…b439backed Over | 79c | 828.33$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 23c | 669.9$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 8c | 588.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 29c | 454.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 76c | 430.26$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.26 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 24c | 412.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 6c | 395$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 77c | 391.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 75c | 333.15$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 75c | 310.02$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 76c | 288.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 24c | 250.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 8c | 247.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23b…6d59backed Over | 76c | 245.76$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 25c | 238.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8372…01e6backed Over | 75c | 235$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Under | 13c | 199.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked Under | 10c | 153.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7639…6563backed Over | 77c | 120.78$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 23c | 119.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7518backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 25c | 92.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…7dcabacked Over | 76c | 89.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…1415backed Over | 74c | 85.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1c…ec86backed Under | 23c | 84.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…fffabacked Over | 73c | 81.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b38…52c8backed Over | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce98…fbb1backed Under | 25c | 68.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…7873backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 25c | 57.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…379bbacked Under | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e00…d2bfbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…aef4backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 75c | 36.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…6d41backed Over | 76c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18df…1f13backed Over | 74c | 26.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…4fb3backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6e…6e40backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Over | 76c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 78c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…4287backed Over | 76c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd2…345ebacked Over | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.