TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$510,733
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,102

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,733 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over48c89,521$42,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,631.215940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c83,619$43,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,375.669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over49c51,020$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,020.4116846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under51c35,000$17,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,85045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under53c28,302$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0009945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under36c25,900$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.6519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,599.9814842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under51c14,813$7,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,528.3142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Under53c12,541$6,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,646.43467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c11,790$6,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,138.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over48c11,462$5,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,927.422,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c11,154$5,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,911.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over48c11,000$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.9820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over47c10,841$5,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,745.726043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over47c10,366$4,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.1455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,20049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under53c9,049$4,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,791.2463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over48c5,504$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.172653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c4,917$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under35c4,752$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.741,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c4,524$2,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under36c4,310$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.0434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over46c4,233$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over51c3,858$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.0452861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under53c3,774$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under53c3,766$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.8990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under54c3,606$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.3125352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over48c3,560$1,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.8618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over40c3,540$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,109.5730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Under62c3,099$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.913444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under45c3,067$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.441,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under52c3,054$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.873240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over48c2,940$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.814940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c2,686$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.514538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under33c2,610$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.492,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c2,433$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.374,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under51c2,373$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.564738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over47c2,234$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.8417250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Over48c2,227$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c2,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.311,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over48c2,098$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.952748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.9865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,900$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under26c1,720$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.6131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c1,667$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.8464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over45c1,634$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.461,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over56c1,624$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.6636051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.742,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over49c1,584$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.8925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over54c1,579$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.241,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over77c1,295$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.6311558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.232,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under57c1,190$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.46437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over69c1,181$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.041,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over75c1,168$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2921973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Under52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Over48c1,146$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.834042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Under31c1,118$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3452744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9925651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed Under52c1,041$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.511921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c1,009$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c1,007$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.91,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under47c966.15$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.1752053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under53c956.48$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.9323553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e6…f893backed Under53c940.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over49c913.37$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.511181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over67c895.64$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.6420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8476…dc8dbacked Over47c860.9$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.22850%14 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over48c854.97$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.5816946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over60c847.3$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Over46c845.99$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.842846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under47c828.1$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.8968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over73c820.95$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over54c798.05$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.977152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over54c738.45$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.4546959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over69c721.6$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over55c688.92$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3721953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under13c650$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.624936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over47c631$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.248149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbb…f53cbacked Over49c609.55$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+63.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31225155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over47c599.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3182665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over47c599.98$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9968944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Under53c574.32$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over60c573.08$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.236038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0f13…f006backed Under52c570.9$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Under42c545.02$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.783839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under13c530$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over50c527.27$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0120946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Over49c520.14$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2643151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over53c512.98$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3159255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.