TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Under30c10,904$3,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.2115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over70c10,000$6,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.6225352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1997…0d61backed Under31c7,513$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under15c6,323$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.011,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf124…5b2cbacked Over69c4,824$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Under33c4,517$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.73729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under12c4,331$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.76437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under13c2,948$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5942842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…708ebacked Over69c2,830$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c1,715$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.778,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over69c1,691$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6418853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over79c1,649$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.771,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under30c1,400$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under33c1,050$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.51,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…6557backed Over80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under11c892.73$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.431,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over70c766.81$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over70c629.62$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.6321574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over67c607.46$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4613759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under12c601$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.121,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under9c573$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over69c568.9$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Under23c547.12$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over79c487.32$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over68c450.2$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ead…4cb2backed Under31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004146.3%19 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under30c310.2$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over69c302.92$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9210861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2111437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under28c297.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.452150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afa…df73backed Over67c295.35$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd190…e445backed Over69c248.75$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.113756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Over68c235.17$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.254738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under33c233.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7729243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over68c213.54$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9419959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under30c200$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under15c144.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under33c139$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under21c137.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9655751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Under19c137.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over75c136$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under11c123.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6727245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under22c122.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2721849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under31c114.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Over70c111.46$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4416261.7%100 W · 62 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4604…d57dbacked Under18c111.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under15c102.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Under31c93.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under32c61.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.545743.9%25 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Under33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4833258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over67c37.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x465b…1419backed Over70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.711968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99d4…0e06backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a1b…aef4backed Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1400…765dbacked Under33c30.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over78c29.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5521046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Over70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5751946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x520c…51a8backed Over70c28.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aae…6472backed Over70c27.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over76c26.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2510656.6%60 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.530551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over69c23.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3521149.3%104 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbe…f3debacked Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Over70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4310855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over68c20.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.647353.4%39 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.274548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5038…99eebacked Over69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bca…f109backed Over68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.46056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d16…4b4bbacked Over67c16.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.