TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$346,235
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$334,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,235 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc408…c1efbacked Under51c96,971$49,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,428.554951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c61,871$30,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,935.741,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under50c48,862$24,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,430.763240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under44c30,157$13,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,317.5156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over49c29,067$14,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,824.177650%38 W · 38 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under31c25,492$7,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,872.915644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c19,692$9,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,978.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over49c17,818$8,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,087.1710146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+217.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c15,018$7,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,186.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fc…4e8cbacked Over49c7,992$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over49c7,082$3,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,592.3955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3a…b6bfbacked Over49c6,153$3,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,138.063100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6b…f517backed Under0c5,821$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.123040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over50c5,046$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,523.632166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under46c4,863$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,222.4690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over53c4,621$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.1276653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb170…354ebacked Over51c3,965$2,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…0162backed Under32c3,855$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.641921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c3,668$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.6818444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over69c3,615$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.4624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under28c3,401$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9641,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.2214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over50c2,980$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,49014940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over54c2,446$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c2,382$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.751,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c2,159$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over34c2,000$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.183,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over38c1,813$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.851,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over65c1,672$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.761,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over49c1,649$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.7520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over49c1,498$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.981,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over72c1,457$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6711639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under31c1,371$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.7711946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdeef…267abacked Under51c1,359$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6931020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-60%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Over79c1,300$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2735558.2%32 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a0…eabbbacked Over50c1,266$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.982560%15 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under51c1,180$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.1962051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Under51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5618951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over50c1,066$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.221872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.8wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+56.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c1,042$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.253935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c1,010$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.130448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Over52c1,000$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4848155.6%45 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Over50c970.56$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2821142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c903.12$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Over50c890$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4452454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over49c870$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.75839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7587…c65abacked Under51c816$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under49c799.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9962948.6%306 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6d…08a8backed Over80c742.61$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over68c735.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.6352461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Over51c716$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.847458.1%43 W · 31 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2311558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5804…e356backed Over57c699.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick48cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over49c556$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.5620153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over57c526.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.465446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under38c520.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.974738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over50c512$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5617247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over79c503.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3116555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Over50c434.8$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.42454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over62c424.43$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.946959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c412.68$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c7…7c43backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2048052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c386$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.721,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over61c381.83$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9615648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under36c380.16$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over51c307$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4349852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under23c300.35$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6926131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over50c289.15$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.5866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over65c273.49$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.728852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb076…2f98backed Over51c261.24$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.012955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over57c260.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9725045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c245.02$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.962,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under45c235.39$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9336051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8837…17aabacked Over69c215.37$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.