NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3b5bb93934c27d1478b9109477e4d7bbd8b5040ced572bfdadd6488856c09d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $455,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Cavaliers | 56c | 65,138$36,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,294.65 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers | 56c | 53,223$29,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,804.88 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 60c | 50,000$29,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,020.82 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 45c | 41,338$18,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,638.54 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cavaliers | 55c | 28,579$15,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,718.55 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks | 45c | 25,129$11,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,938.45 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 45c | 24,248$10,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,389.59 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Knicks | 45c | 22,745$10,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,509.97 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Knicks | 44c | 22,618$9,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,668.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 18,600$10,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.99 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks | 45c | 16,797$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,297.24 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Cavaliers | 53c | 15,864$8,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,331.22 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 40c | 15,474$6,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,189.47 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Cavaliers | 55c | 11,273$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 47c | 10,000$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.55 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 8,235$4,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,571.85 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 55c | 8,028$4,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,415.33 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 40c | 7,641$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,066.92 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 7,240$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.59 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Knicks | 48c | 7,113$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,698.88 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks | 44c | 6,768$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.68 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 6,106$3,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.56 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Knicks | 45c | 5,322$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.48 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 5,194$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks | 46c | 5,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.92 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers | 55c | 4,696$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.8 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Cavaliers | 54c | 4,613$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.46 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Knicks | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.44 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 53c | 3,642$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Knicks | 44c | 3,454$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.23 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Cavaliers | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 44c | 3,043$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.96 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Cavaliers | 57c | 2,995$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 2,666$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.33 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,593$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked Knicks | 47c | 2,589$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 45c | 2,139$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.1 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Knicks | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,875$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks | 45c | 1,861$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.26 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 19c | 1,822$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.81 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,809$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.67 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Cavaliers | 56c | 1,787$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.73 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Knicks | 45c | 1,650$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Knicks | 45c | 1,620$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Knicks | 44c | 1,551$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.79 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Knicks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 11c | 1,449$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Knicks | 44c | 1,321$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.38 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 47c | 1,281$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.03 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Knicks | 45c | 1,233$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.33 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Knicks | 48c | 1,146$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.83 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Knicks | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,050$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 999.99$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.66 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…38edbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 962.96$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Knicks | 71c | 850.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.46 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Knicks | 43c | 804.5$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.57 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Cavaliers | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Knicks | 44c | 800$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Knicks | 45c | 782.84$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks | 69c | 777.12$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.48 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Knicks | 48c | 764.35$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks | 44c | 728.8$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.13 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 713.41$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.74 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cavaliers | 3c | 670$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 46c | 637.54$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.89 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…8769backed Knicks | 45c | 635.17$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 66c | 619.88$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.73 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cavaliers | 4c | 604$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Cavaliers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 532$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.96 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Cavaliers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed Cavaliers | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers | 55c | 499.97$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 57c | 468.18$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 454.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 446.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Knicks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Cavaliers | 57c | 423.81$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.57 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 419.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.08 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks | 47c | 414.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Knicks | 45c | 367.84$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.75 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Knicks | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked Cavaliers | 55c | 359.02$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…4d61backed Cavaliers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 353.28$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Cavaliers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Cavaliers | 8c | 332.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks | 45c | 310$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.1 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 218.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.