TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$344,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,153

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under48c87,000$41,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,759.8525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c34,149$18,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,897.555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under16c23,264$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.9119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under45c22,226$10,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,001.613240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over56c21,563$11,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,591.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under0c19,341$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5521953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Over53c15,025$7,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,049.9312240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9845850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over74c14,675$10,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.0285742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under44c11,597$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.4854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c11,267$5,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,408.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over56c10,714$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.2911654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under33c7,407$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.7342842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88018445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over61c5,599$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.7224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c5,444$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.74,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under28c5,023$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.931,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c4,811$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,309.492,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under30c4,179$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.144738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over52c4,162$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.792,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under45c3,900$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,754.9965939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c3,892$2,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.3993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under45c3,687$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.1525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under29c3,461$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.96437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c3,097$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.321,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under35c2,775$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.5853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under45c2,765$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.3323742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over66c2,513$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.4213464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c2,513$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.092857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.9950346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over52c2,434$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.433275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.041,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Over52c1,852$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.781861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c1,850$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.061,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,794$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.781,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Over56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.716662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c1,607$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.1495452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c1,541$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.6869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under44c1,490$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.3590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under14c1,453$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.4831345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over70c1,431$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.3152461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over55c1,066$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.6536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Over52c1,019$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.234932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over56c1,018$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.8621957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48027246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over39c982.92$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.730551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under30c982.6$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.251,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over39c945$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.535446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over77c929.45$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4516555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over55c914$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.356843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over56c910$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.44443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Over57c884.26$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.421866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over44c813.88$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53cd…11b3backed Over37c800$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5089139.6%36 W · 55 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c777.09$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0717…835ebacked Over56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over59c675.57$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.6346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under30c644.96$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over56c637.5$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.58654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under51c636.09$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0552053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over52c634.58$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.615759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x260b…aa9ebacked Over63c607.53$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.51181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under45c600.01$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26430641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over56c589.29$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.296347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Under49c589.16$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.691315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-70.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under37c547.55$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2830842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over55c542.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.3652861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe641…0f63backed Over52c538$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over58c535$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.811,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under57c527$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.4734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under67c511.56$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6221640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69b…a25bbacked Over40c500.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1103158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over54c465.44$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5815648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over70c424.84$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.971,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Under58c409.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.492030%6 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over56c396.79$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7947651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under30c368.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.271,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Under24c357$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.377133.8%24 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under55c328$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.4927245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over50c321.81$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.747152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Over52c320$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.61442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c309.92$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.5660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under43c300.25$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.7278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Over62c299.64$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.467950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over67c286.01$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over54c282.79$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.071,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under42c277.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Under40c271$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3924936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22bc…f82bbacked Over56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over52c263$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.244100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.