TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$293,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$326,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Cavaliers71c108,072$76,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,889.8415644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Knicks29c32,270$9,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,758.017353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks50c32,021$16,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,010.8318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers50c28,942$14,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,470.8426753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks29c24,675$7,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,487.372,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Knicks29c19,999$5,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,155.6718445.7%84 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks34c12,605$4,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,367.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks33c11,659$3,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,769.8164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Cavaliers70c11,349$7,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,985.4531644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks30c10,000$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,045.8425352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Knicks30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Knicks29c8,559$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,058.7717249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Cavaliers76c6,080$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60014556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Knicks29c5,172$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,672.419725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf642…7353backed Cavaliers70c4,114$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.961723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Cavaliers71c2,919$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.4956843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks31c2,856$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.611,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers72c2,778$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00090650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks29c2,756$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.3152150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Cavaliers69c2,637$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.523540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Knicks29c2,548$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.1750346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers69c2,386$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,641.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Cavaliers70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9920155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Knicks57c1,751$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.6952461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Cavaliers69c1,727$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.385657.1%32 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks31c1,622$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.952760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers71c1,600$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.971,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks52c1,564$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.5519246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Knicks79c1,261$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5243269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Cavaliers69c1,213$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8394751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers52c1,160$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.981,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Knicks79c1,012$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.7220352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Cavaliers69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5ea8…25f9backed Knicks29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7102744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Cavaliers55c992.45$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.8510860.2%65 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+109.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf70b…5166backed Cavaliers76c937.1$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.24850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x106d…ccefbacked Cavaliers70c857.14$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002119%4 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-54.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Cavaliers3c830$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Knicks29c827.59$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.5933837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Cavaliers31c800$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.924626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Knicks30c790.65$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.6815246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers52c731$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers54c719$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.0532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Cavaliers22c690.55$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.881936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eac…6c20backed Cavaliers71c657.05$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Knicks31c640.18$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.245525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8397…0dbbbacked Knicks29c603.45$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.45650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers71c600.2$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.1460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks33c595.1$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.6925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers19c579$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.752,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers52c578.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.1769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc153…6767backed Cavaliers4c555.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222532%8 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Cavaliers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…0d90backed Cavaliers45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2258645.3%39 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Cavaliers57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9516251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Knicks79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.752564%16 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Knicks31c379.74$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.028439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Knicks29c357$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.471942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Knicks29c356.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5216048.8%78 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Knicks29c350$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.535531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Knicks29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8334661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…c2aebacked Cavaliers29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Knicks31c343.9$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.294148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Knicks29c332.1$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Knicks32c327.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.937545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Knicks29c326.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0615759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d64…26cebacked Knicks32c312.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.811668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cavaliers67c298.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xace2…8fe6backed Cavaliers70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks49c284.07$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Knicks70c265.69$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.412650%13 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Cavaliers71c240.01$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.411560%9 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa621…6e29backed Knicks31c239.77$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks48c232$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.641,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Cavaliers69c223.19$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ab74backed Cavaliers70c217.14$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1523151.6%16 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Cavaliers69c200$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13885449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks29c198.4$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.8762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…08e8backed Knicks31c196.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Cavaliers70c179.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7319959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Cavaliers69c174.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers17c170.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8242842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks39c170.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Knicks29c167.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.899446.8%44 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33b…2372backed Knicks30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Knicks31c145.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.161855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39a5…5abfbacked Cavaliers70c142.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Cavaliers72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008644.2%38 W · 48 L-13.7wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-29%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks71c131.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.691,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Knicks78c128.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.335446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Knicks80c125.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.15763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a2…3538backed Cavaliers70c124.04$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.781464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks57c120$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.61,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Knicks30c110$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7736248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Knicks29c108.31$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.94645.7%21 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3843…6f2fbacked Knicks28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+69.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e8…6e04backed Cavaliers23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236132.8%20 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Knicks30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.826755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.