TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39a5…5abf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2885.7%24 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$55.62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$80.1
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$102.74
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.41
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$62.54
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+177.7%+$197.76
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$49.13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$150.43
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$19.08
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+64%+$38.38
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$23.93
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$15.6
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.3
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$15.61
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.72
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25.48
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$32.5
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.02
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.39
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.37
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$65.8
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinebacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 105.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$56.41
Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.56
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Elche CF vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.66
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.22
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.08
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$75
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.67
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.9
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.57
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$42.35
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$45.91
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$19.76
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$66.73
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$52.79
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$79.06
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$6.51
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$13.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$68.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$156.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.