TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes36c8,100$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.46911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick32cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56d4…9c57backed No61c6,761$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.122835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73af…b880backed No67c5,573$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.631855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes18c5,182$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.3425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-57.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No71c4,475$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.36253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes12c4,285$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.251050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes16c4,199$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.973327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c3,870$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.952317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4be7…8e91backed Yes29c3,325$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.394831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes20c2,390$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.971010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes8c2,236$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.347416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc825…6696backed Yes35c2,171$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.842152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77fa…1520backed Yes38c2,080$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Yes25c2,013$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.43214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-92.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes41c1,991$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.841338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes33c1,944$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.778234.1%28 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc351…08f7backed No55c1,894$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf383…c49fbacked Yes39c1,824$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.41234.3%1 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2756…42efbacked Yes38c1,683$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No76c1,594$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.1912835.9%46 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a60…cc65backed Yes14c1,573$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd2…0eacbacked Yes16c1,557$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d42ebacked No61c1,490$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No63c1,397$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.484012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe7b…974fbacked Yes42c1,351$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.36120%0 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No60c1,285$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.436334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed No73c1,252$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.022867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No60c1,234$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.3510235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed No64c1,107$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes18c1,042$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0614315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes27c1,038$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…2927backed Yes27c1,026$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+195.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes39c1,004$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25c2…5b28backed Yes40c1,001$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.62020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c981.11$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.763348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes11c951.9$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.711315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+313.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No74c924.76$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8116250.6%82 W · 80 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ffb…ccbebacked Yes15c894.07$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc41f…7145backed No60c880$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes8c866.89$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.291478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No63c853.55$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.5510630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x744e…d6c9backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed Yes45c828$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+100%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f183backed No64c813$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes6c800.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.056710.4%7 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdc…c5dfbacked Yes40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes45c781$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.45616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-72.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No70c759.12$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.035131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x968f…a539backed Yes45c759$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-42%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No77c749.98$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.519939.2%78 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked No71c732.54$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.095335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes23c731.9$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.256544.6%29 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Yes23c700$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad8…cd62backed Yes26c692.92$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1792437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed No61c690$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43f6…bb1ebacked No61c685$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No73c665.99$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.821154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ece…35e8backed No61c662$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2971…b901backed Yes14c658$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes36c639$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…8191backed No75c632$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbe…04b4backed Yes25c632$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked Yes36c631$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No64c616.6$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.947425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x186c…11cebacked Yes40c604$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.261931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes9c600$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes39c591$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e8…ac57backed Yes39c583$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.37520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e33…22febacked Yes27c556.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No60c554.37$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.157740.3%31 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes3c550.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.127121.1%15 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No64c467$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.454348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes36c467$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.454654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed No63c460$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.63928.2%11 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+345.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No73c456.82$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes18c456.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.274318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8dd…9b5abacked No65c449.9$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.214148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb939…64edbacked Yes20c441.79$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x993b…dedabacked Yes35c429.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-46.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x447e…2372backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f80…e1ddbacked Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed No65c400.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.651850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No64c400$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1453212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x259b…453ebacked Yes12c391.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0478…3faabacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-77.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes13c380.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.022020%4 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x021c…6278backed Yes25c378.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.37450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x810f…aa88backed Yes26c373.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.65520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddac…c144backed Yes40c366.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.311010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+939.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes28c360.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-84.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76d9…9682backed Yes11c359.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.17540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8e…773dbacked No14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.60per pick28cpaid+784.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x7ca0…e17abacked No59c354.69$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.767549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x946e…9749backed Yes15c339$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefc0…4942backed Yes39c316$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.24742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+55.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9e…bd49backed No55c315$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd48…2ce1backed No66c311$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes37c309.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.65046%23 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c84…89f6backed No65c307$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb407…252cbacked No66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.