Music · resolved market
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c2496fb54b75ff6e68ba858720eb9d894e456028c54bec4c421148862555cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 8c | 8,924$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.92 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 10c | 4,434$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.96 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 7c | 3,044$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked No | 10c | 3,025$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 14c | 2,297$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 8c | 2,220$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +205.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 6c | 2,126$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 7c | 2,048$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.64 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 6c | 1,762$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8eb…8473backed No | 7c | 1,736$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 16c | 1,658$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 7c | 1,641$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…a800backed No | 7c | 1,412$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 17c | 1,263$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 3c | 1,260$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 2c | 1,170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 15c | 1,089$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.25 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 10c | 1,022$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 9c | 864.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…92b3backed No | 15c | 855$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…c88dbacked No | 17c | 843.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed No | 11c | 757$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed No | 14c | 669$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 14c | 655$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 12c | 619.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 14c | 593$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…2372backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 13c | 555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 4c | 527.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed No | 14c | 527$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 11c | 506.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 15c | 501.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed No | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 14c | 498.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 5c | 479.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 16c | 475$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked No | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…a1c4backed No | 6c | 432.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed No | 15c | 430$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 4c | 421.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e3…22d5backed No | 15c | 399.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked No | 7c | 399.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 14c | 389.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked No | 11c | 366$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…359cbacked No | 8c | 354.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 15c | 352$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked No | 14c | 351.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 15c | 338$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 15c | 336$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…4223backed No | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…4d47backed No | 6c | 294.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked No | 12c | 280$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked No | 14c | 278$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…ea05backed No | 7c | 272.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked No | 11c | 266$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 17c | 256$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…4d74backed No | 5c | 254.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…d389backed No | 21c | 251.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed No | 14c | 251$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 5c | 248.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked No | 11c | 243$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 15c | 239.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…998cbacked No | 21c | 238.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed No | 11c | 237.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…57efbacked No | 11c | 231.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…c78dbacked No | 6c | 213.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 10c | 184$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 15c | 166$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 16c | 165.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked No | 15c | 164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 13c | 160.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 15c | 153$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…b3c2backed No | 15c | 147$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf383…c49fbacked No | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 26cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed No | 11c | 133$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +107.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…30c6backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…8b5bbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 95.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 17c | 80.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…5804backed No | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…f84dbacked No | 20c | 77.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed No | 15c | 74.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503c…4574backed No | 21c | 72.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 63.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…75a8backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 21c | 51.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cda…f8c2backed No | 24c | 42.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 78c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.