Music · resolved market
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa009b96730a0f5e80860c6c63e897b8f4240beb7c834040bd99139b5fc01aaa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 35c | 14,538$5,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,064.54 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 12,525$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…cd62backed No | 68c | 5,658$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed No | 62c | 4,919$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.09 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 66c | 4,547$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.98 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 34c | 4,013$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.74 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 69c | 4,002$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73af…b880backed Yes | 32c | 3,898$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 74c | 3,423$2,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.3 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 23c | 3,394$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed Yes | 30c | 3,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Yes | 31c | 3,124$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d6d6backed Yes | 30c | 3,033$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed No | 61c | 2,851$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 47c | 2,823$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.34 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 66c | 2,754$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.53 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…fdc0backed Yes | 32c | 2,632$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.95 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Yes | 34c | 2,579$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.03 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 67c | 2,487$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.54 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 72c | 2,187$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.02 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 62c | 2,056$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.09 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,915$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…c827backed No | 72c | 1,900$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,881$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 27c | 1,864$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.35 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…5472backed Yes | 29c | 1,860$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 69c | 1,713$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.02 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 62c | 1,536$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.43 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,486$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.6 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked No | 80c | 1,461$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 66c | 1,458$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.1 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 63c | 1,405$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.28 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 34c | 1,315$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.73 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 57c | 1,299$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.92 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed No | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a37…f948backed Yes | 4c | 1,127$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 70c | 1,125$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.64 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Yes | 29c | 1,097$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 1,031$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.02 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…65c8backed Yes | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…a4e2backed Yes | 29c | 991.64$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e48…95c7backed No | 65c | 969.74$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…b20fbacked Yes | 25c | 933.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 36c | 887.11$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 66c | 859.11$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 75c | 823.5$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…be46backed Yes | 38c | 789.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 64c | 761$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.57 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 35c | 750$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.28 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 37c | 703.98$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +228.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 35c | 699.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 70c | 675.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…fe71backed Yes | 20c | 644$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 20c | 640$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 20c | 632$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 608.5$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…1c14backed No | 65c | 590$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…cf6dbacked Yes | 36c | 549.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 71c | 523.94$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.94 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 77c | 516.88$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f64…32b3backed Yes | 34c | 499.23$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 36c | 481.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 455.83$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.53 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed No | 80c | 455$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 77c | 453.84$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 28c | 444$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 31cpaid | +167.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…7fa1backed No | 68c | 442.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 65c | 415.69$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…b643backed No | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 57c | 400$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.72 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 65c | 389.43$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 68c | 373.5$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 373.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 54c | 369.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 69c | 349.98$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…8087backed No | 67c | 342.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 61c | 338.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.64 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…9a0abacked Yes | 16c | 336.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed Yes | 46c | 335.62$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…3faabacked Yes | 39c | 330.53$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 60c | 324$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked Yes | 27c | 313.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 32c | 312.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af7…658ebacked Yes | 32c | 309.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 33c | 307.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac1…8b5bbacked Yes | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked Yes | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 47c | 299.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…19b8backed No | 71c | 284.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8619…8643backed Yes | 33c | 275$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…50e5backed Yes | 22c | 275$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +449%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 62c | 247.26$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.