Music · resolved market
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e5b0f17f8b4af91eeba25c75a1dbbcff7c8b5738062506a7c84f3e7c7668b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 11,315$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 17c | 11,103$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.49 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 20c | 9,356$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.76 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 20c | 8,730$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.59 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed No | 27c | 4,854$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.43 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed No | 20c | 3,661$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.86 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 71c | 3,348$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.72 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 23c | 3,235$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.73 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 17c | 2,848$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.51 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 17c | 2,789$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.69 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed No | 16c | 2,634$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 79c | 2,411$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.88 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 20c | 2,097$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.76 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…a528backed Yes | 80c | 1,941$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 40c | 1,855$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.73 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed No | 32c | 1,713$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.3 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 71c | 1,700$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 20c | 1,698$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…acecbacked Yes | 80c | 1,685$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…bf08backed Yes | 76c | 1,655$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 18c | 1,645$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 80c | 1,638$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…5e57backed Yes | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 17c | 1,360$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.83 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…8b3bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,296$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 72c | 1,241$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,187$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.3 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 24c | 1,088$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 29c | 1,055$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 19c | 1,016$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed No | 19c | 1,008$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…d062backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 68c | 1,000$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed No | 14c | 999.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 80c | 992.07$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa440…a487backed No | 21c | 980$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.34 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 24c | 949.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 79c | 900$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…58fdbacked Yes | 74c | 878.89$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Yes | 75c | 853.38$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.1 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked Yes | 80c | 827$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed No | 20c | 816$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…2036backed No | 31c | 807.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 15c | 743.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 71c | 725$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 72c | 710$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 8c | 669.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…1574backed Yes | 74c | 663.55$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…516dbacked Yes | 71c | 631.54$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…510bbacked Yes | 80c | 628.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…1e8cbacked Yes | 77c | 624.02$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…5b28backed No | 34c | 615.15$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…f0dcbacked Yes | 73c | 604.82$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 18c | 579.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…f815backed No | 13c | 577$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…8bf6backed No | 13c | 560$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked No | 13c | 549$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 58c | 518.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.59 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 79c | 499.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 19c | 469.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 73c | 439.95$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 21c | 422.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 60c | 419.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…809ebacked Yes | 80c | 419.01$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed No | 16c | 413.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…b20fbacked Yes | 74c | 403.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 384.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d72…b643backed Yes | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 22c | 362.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b43…0714backed Yes | 66c | 358.87$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed No | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed No | 13c | 339.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…5affbacked Yes | 71c | 334.55$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed No | 26c | 334.32$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…25a4backed Yes | 70c | 318.56$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed No | 18c | 316.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4d12backed Yes | 75c | 301.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 66c | 300$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 20c | 298$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 29c | 288.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.52 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 25c | 276.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…5abfbacked Yes | 75c | 266.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d4…e175backed No | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +1,421.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 35c | 261.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +168%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 252.32$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 19c | 249.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 62c | 241.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 17c | 238.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 24c | 238.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Yes | 74c | 224$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed Yes | 78c | 219.65$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ea…d4e1backed Yes | 71c | 208.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 68c | 206.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…63cdbacked Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Latvia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Montenegro be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will San Marino be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.