TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,890
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,890 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes10c9,418$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.726144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d4…9c57backed Yes15c5,793$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.212835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Yes22c5,343$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523a…8e28backed Yes7c3,391$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.81214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick15cpaid-92.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe807…4d35backed Yes10c2,695$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.252222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1d6…893dbacked Yes7c2,224$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9470%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes3c2,016$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4314315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No68c1,978$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.6822927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50a…6717backed Yes11c1,740$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3122…e27abacked Yes10c1,490$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No77c1,442$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3271154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked Yes9c1,296$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.461650%8 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+168%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x447e…2372backed Yes9c1,119$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes10c999.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015819%11 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c2…5b28backed Yes10c966.54$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.622020%4 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c4…cafbbacked Yes25c938.55$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes13c902.66$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.063221.9%7 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+187.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes13c804.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.645131.4%16 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9570…c84fbacked Yes11c792.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed Yes8c781.04$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.233625%9 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4447…e040backed Yes11c718.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.253327.3%9 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+86.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82f1…3ecebacked Yes8c700$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.61020%2 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed Yes6c698.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.982433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes8c696.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.131315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+313.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211e…35ddbacked No54c660.07$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.013100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes9c645.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.989333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Yes8c600$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.53256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6c…d024backed Yes13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No80c570.33$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.138737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…b409backed Yes8c534.6$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.362339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick23cpaid+73.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes15c532.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.34166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-89.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7131…b3a6backed No80c529.22$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.6wins-0.27per pick68cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes12c463.95$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.84166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-78.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes8c452.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.261478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9783…66eebacked Yes5c394.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857f…039fbacked Yes13c386.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd8…d4edbacked Yes11c379.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f76…1688backed Yes5c369.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e33…22febacked Yes21c354.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes9c351.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.534526.7%12 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+191.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98d…ab18backed Yes10c310.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1587…1669backed Yes10c308$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes8c301.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.71074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c300.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.984629.7%45 W · 417 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb424…3b71backed Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94318.6%8 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb46…3692backed Yes70c290$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes7c281.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes11c265$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.327626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1620…f529backed Yes12c258.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Yes12c254.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6122…2d6bbacked Yes11c246.52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79a8…bb66backed Yes5c231.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.86240%0 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12cc…af5abacked Yes11c218.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfad2…8e9abacked Yes25c203.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedcc…4d5ebacked Yes14c200$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c8…dec4backed Yes15c198.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0785…6b03backed Yes10c183.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…a1c4backed Yes40c124.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa23d…da1fbacked Yes11c118.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.832334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b2c…3535backed Yes14c110.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…296ebacked Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick16cpaid+208.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddbf…4223backed Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.79119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick13cpaid+39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b2…9bafbacked Yes65c98.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes31c96.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.515930.5%18 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x96e8…d240backed Yes14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Yes26c76.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.18633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+366.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x084e…3215backed Yes16c66.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No79c66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.167234.7%25 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d7…cb83backed Yes17c65.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffa0…8e9cbacked Yes22c65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…27cabacked Yes23c51.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x491e…1748backed Yes41c48.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No70c48.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e6…8a05backed Yes38c34.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30eb…ccccbacked No80c28.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…566ebacked No80c25.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No76c22.18$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.228739.1%34 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.