TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc173…b6e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.4
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$135.68
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$28.69
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.98
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.95
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$52.42
Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$15.24
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$92
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$100.13
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$132.91
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Belgium finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+55.2%+$220.78
Will Cyprus qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.35
Will 'Cowboy Carter' win Album of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$305
All 24 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahce vs. Barcelonabacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$352
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+185.7%+$33.43
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 4 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$22.63
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+301.4%+$521.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$38.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$21.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ireland win Eurovision 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderlecht beat RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$471.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.