Euroleague · resolved market
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98409a7f97963edcfcc464aa5d7aa7afef01a9acb4ff257df8067d2659aa364d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maccabi Tel Avivof Zalgiris Kaunas, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 48c | 3,821$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.71 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 15c | 3,594$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.04 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 28c | 1,815$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.04 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 4c | 1,532$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 19c | 1,513$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.05 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 2c | 1,500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 1,499$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 999.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.68 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e71…7a6bbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 11c | 820.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 25c | 800.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 37c | 692$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 661$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 7c | 583.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 25c | 560.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.42 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 532.04$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.69 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 291.89$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 257.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 51c | 192.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea9…10febacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 22c | 184.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 17c | 180.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 25c | 156.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.09 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6e5backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 41c | 144.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 124$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…ed96backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…87c9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 30c | 92.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.40per pick | 58cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 75.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 54.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…3752backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d0…bfb9backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 50.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 66c | 48.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 24c | 44.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…4e6cbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 41.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 41.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 41.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 32.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…fdffbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 59c | 27.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Zalgiris Kaunas | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Zalgiris Kaunas | 75c | 15.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.