TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe169…87c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$86.3
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.34
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.81
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$14.64
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$41.86
Warriors vs. Hornetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.69
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+33.3%+$18.2
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.46
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.15
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+100%+$11.96
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21.87
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.47
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$7
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+187.8%+$35.68
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$142.71
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.94
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$25.12
Chris Wood: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.85
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.71
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.23
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$72.81
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$20.78
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$13.91
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Newcastle vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$10.33
Everton vs. Newcastle: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+92.3%+$11.6
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.40per pick58cpaid-72.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Panathinaikos vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.21
Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.74
Partizan vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.62
Saski Baskonia vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Olimpia Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$28
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.39
Saski Baskonia vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$23.92
Paris Basketball vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$7.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.