TailMyPicks

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Euroleague · resolved market

Anadolu Efes vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanneof Anadolu Efes, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,853 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Anadolu Efes60c3,522$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.1854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c2,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne38c1,842$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.563345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne23c943.26$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.6727557.5%158 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne63c913.61$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0931651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Anadolu Efes54c579.42$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.76425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne25c508$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.541637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne47c501.83$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1628943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c37…f2ffbacked Anadolu Efes76c412.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Anadolu Efes53c397.14$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7714447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed Anadolu Efes76c390.53$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.82227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Anadolu Efes26c384$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0650%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne26c369$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick33cpaid+99.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne52c360.52$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4826544.5%118 W · 147 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Anadolu Efes59c339.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005050%25 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne76c328.46$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.73764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Anadolu Efes57c310.48$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4526935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c309$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.828644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes74c308.38$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4813147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne46c285.96$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.96633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Anadolu Efes71c280.77$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae7a…5657backed Anadolu Efes75c268$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3cb…ef82backed Anadolu Efes59c268$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.161526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne40c251.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.964641.3%19 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne52c249.56$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Anadolu Efes79c221.22$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.762755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Anadolu Efes47c213.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Anadolu Efes68c208.16$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.951827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid+13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne25c196.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.047341.1%30 W · 43 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+39.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Anadolu Efes52c187.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.694438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Anadolu Efes52c187.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne59c180.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3e7…a322backed Anadolu Efes69c151.79$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Anadolu Efes77c148.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2711635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne48c144.95$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Anadolu Efes76c143.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne43c130.32$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7135234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne51c129$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6310941.3%45 W · 64 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne48c119.07$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.16363.5%40 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…e834backed Anadolu Efes66c105.08$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.913542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne55c99.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne25c99.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7627338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Anadolu Efes76c95.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5512040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Anadolu Efes34c94.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.251915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Anadolu Efes45c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.866940.6%28 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Anadolu Efes55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Anadolu Efes59c90.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c88.89$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4531446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne34c88.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4510736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne22c87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.864452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne51c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.945646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Anadolu Efes45c83.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.532040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.331540%6 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Anadolu Efes45c76.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.542462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+48.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked Anadolu Efes76c73.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Anadolu Efes76c65.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.75046%23 W · 27 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Anadolu Efes76c64.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.914953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Anadolu Efes76c63.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1721444.4%95 W · 119 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec7…e2f8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne38c58.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick23cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1b6…70ffbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Anadolu Efes70c51.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.246446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Anadolu Efes53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53627.8%10 W · 26 L-8.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Anadolu Efes70c47.84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.313348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne63c47.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Anadolu Efes51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.749746.4%45 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Anadolu Efes49c41.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Anadolu Efes77c40.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.322560%15 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Anadolu Efes69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.826663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Anadolu Efes36c35.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Anadolu Efes49c35.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.324431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc89…6b96backed Anadolu Efes76c32.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.892352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Anadolu Efes52c32.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.866929%20 W · 49 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-32.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne61c32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.512556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c7e…5705backed Anadolu Efes77c30.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Anadolu Efes76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…87c9backed Anadolu Efes76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.40per pick58cpaid-72.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4c34…cc7dbacked Anadolu Efes77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Anadolu Efes59c25.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Anadolu Efes72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Anadolu Efes58c24.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne63c21.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed Anadolu Efes75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29e5…3c3fbacked Anadolu Efes71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f1…14b7backed Anadolu Efes55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02a…41d1backed Anadolu Efes77c19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Anadolu Efes74c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3213548.9%66 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.