TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d0f…a318backed Over46c18,000$8,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8004228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c15,530$8,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,401.351,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under42c9,998$4,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1997146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c4…106dbacked Over59c6,860$4,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c5,839$2,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,436.5346048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over62c5,652$3,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.042147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under41c3,274$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.6937544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under43c2,370$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.133951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Over62c1,650$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under39c1,580$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.4733851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad34…4386backed Under42c1,100$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.461464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over59c1,042$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.223930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Under43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4306734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd14a…e912backed Over57c999.78$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.95048%24 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under41c958.15$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1339746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Over56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c784.71$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.717065.7%46 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over59c711.86$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.869142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under39c699.96$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.9811649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495f…06b0backed Over33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.063836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Over58c552.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.944969.4%34 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under64c550$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35222054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19517426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Under41c499.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054045%18 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf537…8d55backed Over61c497.76$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.65875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Over59c489.71$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.78944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Over57c487.07$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.076170.5%43 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Over61c455.65$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Over57c399.98$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.992748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Over57c349.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.145567.3%37 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under41c321$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6120947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over52c315.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.3410465.4%68 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…f67ebacked Over59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1231758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over49c282.57$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.116248.4%30 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over59c228.81$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.816154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8622647.3%107 W · 119 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3b…5a53backed Over61c188.52$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.521258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…598dbacked Over58c178.06$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.791241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over57c174.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.835646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over58c173.53$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.886068.3%41 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727c…c1f5backed Over60c170.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.334360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked Under40c130$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0742…c66cbacked Over57c120.68$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.825659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over58c110.8$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.539547.4%45 W · 50 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2beb…0a24backed Over57c108.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over59c102.38$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4817560%105 W · 70 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over33c100.61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.474242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444353.5%23 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411275%9 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+81.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2599…61cdbacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under41c88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0821354%115 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb9…1f8fbacked Over60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under44c82.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.238748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over50c74.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.312958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a9…caccbacked Over61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over61c65.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.676950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over61c63.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.944250%21 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under44c57.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1312751.2%65 W · 62 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under44c52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8838043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Under43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.78053.8%43 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.520667.5%139 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8153…c439backed Over60c49.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under41c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.687754.5%42 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb9…2772backed Over59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under41c42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2220241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under42c35.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094067.5%27 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x855b…8dd0backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over59c33.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.986666.7%44 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x084f…8b8ebacked Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe947…2cf3backed Over61c32.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.877876.9%60 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2886…0e62backed Under65c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f8…148fbacked Under41c28.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe169…87c9backed Over59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.424100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x098c…d077backed Over61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.75683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725a…c06cbacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over59c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf20…953abacked Over60c20.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.