Champions League · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ccf462f883bc6cdfc920a93d462221c207fe0ce8dd18102dfa4d3c7e512e6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.95 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 2,601$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.53 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 2,043$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.38 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 63c | 1,914$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 1,100$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.96 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 39c | 701.61$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.98 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 62c | 625$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.5 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 60c | 625$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 42c | 494.28$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 37c | 466.16$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 62c | 354.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 61c | 310.66$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 60c | 194.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 39c | 150.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 39c | 109.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 61c | 106.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 39c | 87.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Yes | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 61c | 57.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Yes | 60c | 49.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…8164backed Yes | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8b51backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 41c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3501…0591backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.