TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf3f7…8a43

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT6163.9%39 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36.32
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$39.61
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$39.31
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$32.17
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$75.23
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$66.64
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$83.83
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$66.57
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$60.29
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$61.96
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$83.77
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$65.49
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$203
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$60.04
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$26.61
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.49
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$31.91
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$52.7
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$116.65
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$70
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$37.01
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+72.4%+$25.34
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6.22
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$19.74
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$39
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$73.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$30.75
Real Betis Balompié vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$35.68
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will Getafe CF win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.3%+$74.25
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+30.9%+$71.31
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$37.82
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$11.33
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$69.44
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+45.2%+$24.88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+51.7%+$56.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$73.33
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$26.67
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$29.87
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.9%+$23.57
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$17.9
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$54.8
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+42.9%+$71.44
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+54.1%+$75.15
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$73.26
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15.71
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$24.47
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$29.88
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$23.18
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Basquet Girona vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$31.64
Barcelona vs. Fenerbahcebacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$96.31
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Barcelonabacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.02
Granada vs. Bilbao Basketbacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+67.6%+$25.02
Paris Basketball vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$15.51
Saski Baskonia vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$69.18
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-46.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$31.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$740
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.