Euroleague · resolved market
Basquet Girona vs. Real Madrid
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc922336b2811e068f019b16569abcd3646cafb95f5c2854e8b8de8d51b20e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Basquet Girona, Real Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Real Madrid | 78c | 782.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Basquet Girona | 22c | 779.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basquet Girona | 16c | 710.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Basquet Girona | 16c | 587.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.33 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Basquet Girona | 22c | 446.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Basquet Girona | 30c | 377.41$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Real Madrid | 79c | 354.65$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basquet Girona | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Real Madrid | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Real Madrid | 79c | 252.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Real Madrid | 78c | 153.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Real Madrid | 79c | 149.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Basquet Girona | 22c | 149.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Real Madrid | 77c | 138.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Real Madrid | 78c | 136.33$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basquet Girona | 12c | 126.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Real Madrid | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…14e5backed Real Madrid | 76c | 65.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad34…9f3abacked Basquet Girona | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…053ebacked Real Madrid | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Real Madrid | 78c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Real Madrid | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Real Madrid | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Basquet Girona | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Real Madrid | 75c | 40.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Real Madrid | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Real Madrid | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…b4f2backed Real Madrid | 79c | 21.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…7b14backed Real Madrid | 78c | 16.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.