TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,741

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x869b…c625backed Yes58c122,652$71,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,513.97425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No42c91,076$38,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,238.4811848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c54,454$19,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,624.022,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes59c25,000$14,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,25010952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No45c6,584$2,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.4112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c6,467$2,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,651.081,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No42c5,056$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.972941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No41c5,030$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.9320143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes57c3,999$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.724658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No42c3,595$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,508.9296942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c3,287$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.1933357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes57c3,249$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.222850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c3,111$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.238744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No43c3,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+64.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No43c2,195$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.7445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed No44c2,100$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9241963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No44c1,800$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7926442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes56c1,589$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.6219549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes58c1,403$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.456046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c1,172$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.923417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Yes57c1,123$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.862958.6%17 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+101.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4405747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…3d88backed Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No46c976$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.9624939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes57c809$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1344753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes59c752.54$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.541861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes54c699.98$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.9912649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes55c692.86$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5417543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No12c651.36$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2463938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21512540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab0…2fe9backed Yes79c489.37$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.77862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No42c426.32$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.322619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No42c323.35$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.813658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No35c322.41$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No44c295.45$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306036.7%22 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Yes57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.168041.3%33 W · 47 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes59c247.19$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3527226.8%73 W · 199 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f16…2d56backed No42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed No42c238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96119.1%1 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick47cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No23c228.44$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6224849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked No42c220$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes57c212.88$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2520841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x455f…bd63backed Yes57c209.61$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes57c209$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1427737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9710…80a3backed Yes79c205.76$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed No49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8414254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7052…74aebacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes59c186.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.856659.1%39 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No36c179.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.964151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4126744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No42c168.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4912049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes58c165.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.528744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes59c157.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6333951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed Yes79c151.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.91457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No41c145.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7112049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f4…5495backed Yes59c145.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes71c141.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.328169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No42c141.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.272245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No42c111$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6216842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6878…bec2backed No43c106.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.291735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.262373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bf9…086cbacked Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.695563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4710339.8%41 W · 62 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…85b7backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403560%21 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed No42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No39c94.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.058952.8%47 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd855…c823backed Yes54c92.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9115648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes55c90.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.583360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3f7…8a43backed Yes58c89.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.66875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes63c89.5$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7313639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab1c…6451backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.214562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c82$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4422551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed No47c70$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.95354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.76355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.13650%18 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd347…39bdbacked Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No43c68.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No43c64.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9412452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b17…2aa5backed Yes55c64.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.01757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes57c57.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.687568%51 W · 24 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.