TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xed06…f663

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.76
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.19
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Will SS Lazio vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+26.6%+$31.9
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will US Lecce win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+33.8%+$74.4
Will Como 1907 win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will Inter win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.9
Will Bologna win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Como win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.46
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$8.96
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.7%+$69.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Vissel Kōbe vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+138.1%+$15.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+58.2%+$180.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$58.3
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaelsbacked Iona Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$44.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$54.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort (BO3)backed MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$298.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$405.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.