College Football · resolved market
Utah State vs. Fresno State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x713e497584739df7c461addeb01cbb09066ad484c8f2f5147807b1a0c9344301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Stateof Utah State, Fresno State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,816,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,894,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,816,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Fresno State | 57c | 1,077,087$608,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608,600.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Utah State | 48c | 363,208$173,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190,137.74 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Utah State | 44c | 250,000$110,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,000 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Utah State | 46c | 185,400$85,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,356 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State | 42c | 127,021$53,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,041.3 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Utah State | 45c | 95,820$43,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,701.44 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Utah State | 45c | 52,074$23,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,461.25 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Fresno State | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,000 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Fresno State | 60c | 43,000$25,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,800 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Fresno State | 60c | 40,154$23,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,896.49 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Fresno State | 55c | 35,000$19,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,249.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah State | 30c | 24,372$7,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,116.03 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah State | 43c | 22,399$9,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,767.46 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State | 44c | 21,474$9,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,012.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Utah State | 45c | 21,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,549.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah State | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Utah State | 37c | 15,864$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,979.41 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Utah State | 36c | 15,516$5,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,855.47 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Utah State | 59c | 15,029$8,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,109.91 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah State | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Utah State | 45c | 12,016$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,608.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah State | 46c | 11,471$5,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,194.34 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Utah State | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be0…c770backed Fresno State | 72c | 8,384$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Utah State | 46c | 8,031$3,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.74 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Utah State | 39c | 7,710$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…e215backed Utah State | 43c | 5,888$2,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Utah State | 17c | 5,578$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Fresno State | 74c | 5,169$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Utah State | 28c | 5,142$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Utah State | 44c | 5,073$2,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Utah State | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fresno State | 80c | 4,511$3,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Utah State | 45c | 4,486$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Utah State | 36c | 4,146$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.89 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Fresno State | 62c | 4,030$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Utah State | 45c | 4,002$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.1 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Utah State | 45c | 4,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State | 45c | 3,861$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.54 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah State | 43c | 3,603$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.71 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fresno State | 65c | 2,645$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.54 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State | 32c | 2,525$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.12 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Utah State | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.3 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Utah State | 47c | 2,349$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Utah State | 31c | 2,212$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.45 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Utah State | 40c | 2,192$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Utah State | 24c | 2,080$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.73 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Fresno State | 70c | 2,072$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.29per pick | 67cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Utah State | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Fresno State | 23c | 1,973$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.9 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Utah State | 44c | 1,800$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.95 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Utah State | 44c | 1,772$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.14 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…0123backed Fresno State | 59c | 1,601$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Utah State | 57c | 1,594$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.29 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Utah State | 44c | 1,590$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.4 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Utah State | 36c | 1,531$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Utah State | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah State | 40c | 1,448$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.72 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah State | 44c | 1,416$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.96 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Utah State | 30c | 1,323$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Utah State | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…99dcbacked Utah State | 39c | 1,283$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Utah State | 42c | 1,200$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Fresno State | 56c | 1,121$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Utah State | 44c | 1,113$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.96 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Utah State | 45c | 1,042$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.06 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Utah State | 38c | 1,014$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.81 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Fresno State | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Fresno State | 71c | 989$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Fresno State | 54c | 979.63$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Utah State | 41c | 814.01$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.67 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah State | 38c | 680.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.72 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…8629backed Utah State | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State | 45c | 594.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.75 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…72c5backed Utah State | 46c | 571.74$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…1f84backed Fresno State | 80c | 525$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Fresno State | 56c | 513.41$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Fresno State | 13c | 501.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Fresno State | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Utah State | 46c | 475$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Utah State | 45c | 442$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.1 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x855d…349fbacked Utah State | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…f663backed Fresno State | 73c | 411.23$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Utah State | 31c | 404$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Fresno State | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Fresno State | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed Utah State | 37c | 399.59$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Utah State | 46c | 382$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.28 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Utah State | 42c | 381.01$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.01 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Utah State | 44c | 375$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Fresno State | 58c | 365.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…a829backed Fresno State | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Utah State | 46c | 358.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Utah State | 35c | 357.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.18 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Fresno State | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed Fresno State | 7c | 334.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Utah State | 37c | 331.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.84 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…aaa7backed Fresno State | 57c | 329.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Fresno State | 10c | 305.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Utah State | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah State vs. Fresno Statethis page
- O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Fresno State (-2.5)Utah State won
- Spread: Fresno State (-3.5)Utah State won
- Utah State vs. Fresno State: 1H MoneylineFresno State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.