TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Maryland Terrapins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Maryland Terrapinsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Maryland Terrapins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd041…7b26backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels45c11,212$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Maryland Terrapins55c5,500$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,47536944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Maryland Terrapins59c4,611$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,874.751353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c4,500$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93528539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Maryland Terrapins50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0003046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels52c3,286$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Maryland Terrapins57c2,895$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.8384147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9769…7cd7backed Maryland Terrapins37c2,728$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.38742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Maryland Terrapins57c2,648$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.295543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels52c1,650$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85515557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels40c1,627$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.6430139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels63c1,338$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels42c1,246$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa9…1351backed Maryland Terrapins42c1,207$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.812222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Maryland Terrapins58c1,207$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels21c1,189$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.35450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3b…b511backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels58c1,065$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.971414.3%2 W · 12 L-5.3wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Maryland Terrapins57c1,052$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.262040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac28…b1a5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels50c1,014$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…0fc2backed Maryland Terrapins53c933.85$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels2c929.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.68643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b0…28f6backed Maryland Terrapins59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.46540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels37c838.19$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.13540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Maryland Terrapins56c830.25$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.243534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels10c800$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Maryland Terrapins58c797$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.7416053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Maryland Terrapins45c790.65$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.763158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed Maryland Terrapins58c660.19$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.19955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels61c659.65$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5478backed Maryland Terrapins57c625$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b5…1d1dbacked Maryland Terrapins60c604.69$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaffb…9801backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels60c457.91$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.08580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Maryland Terrapins57c456.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.148359%49 W · 34 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-75%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90dc…5ba6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels46c365.77$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.911546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Maryland Terrapins64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c299.99$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12950%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Maryland Terrapins57c289.33$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.71,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels50c262$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.992,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c244.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.065,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels45c232.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels53c213.73$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cf0…de6dbacked Maryland Terrapins34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+111.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Maryland Terrapins50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd4…6ebcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels57c192.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.431040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8688…278fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a1…5084backed Maryland Terrapins57c158$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Maryland Terrapins59c133.49$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels41c127.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.023,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels42c125$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels44c99.18$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6435243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2b…34cdbacked Maryland Terrapins46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea9…531abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Maryland Terrapins60c83.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.751060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f1…c325backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels64c62.94$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393e…7b02backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels58c60.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels47c59.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.754,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c54.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4513343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd64…cbeebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…24e0backed Maryland Terrapins57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec0…82ddbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels41c38.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.987145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf338…4514backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels63c38.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8054…150cbacked Maryland Terrapins58c37.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec20…fb93backed Maryland Terrapins59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05f4…208cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels66c33.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2230%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d63…9c6fbacked Maryland Terrapins72c33.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels66c31.94$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16af…d006backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Maryland Terrapins54c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Maryland Terrapins47c25.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8639…fb86backed Maryland Terrapins56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.817740.7%72 W · 105 L-0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.