TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xec20…fb93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1485.7%12 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$40
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+40.8%+$32.68
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$14.05
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$16.34
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+41.8%+$12.29
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio vs. Buffalobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$28.11
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Northern Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+78.8%+$50.35
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
USC vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Michigan State vs. Iowabacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Missouri vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+34.2%+$13.69
Central Michigan vs. Kent State Golden Flashesbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick68cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+39.3%+$389.41
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Heroic (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+51.5%+$20.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+42.5%+$8.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.