NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1027d80187fdf74fb404e879c3228a7332ce5566f3b941ea969f409e03635c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Warriors, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,112,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,155,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,112,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,489 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Warriors | 34c | 230,745$77,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77,390 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 29c | 69,772$20,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,222.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Heat | 65c | 64,724$42,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,375.04 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Heat | 76c | 62,955$47,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,087.14 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Warriors | 26c | 61,474$15,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,924.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Warriors | 21c | 60,056$12,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,896.75 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Warriors | 34c | 57,000$19,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,380 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Heat | 79c | 55,555$43,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,666.55 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Warriors | 22c | 55,167$12,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,136.76 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Heat | 69c | 55,072$37,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,178.95 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…2fefbacked Warriors | 0c | 52,242$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 23c | 52,216$11,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,897.14 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Heat | 74c | 47,932$35,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,260.82 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Heat | 78c | 43,510$33,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,572.28 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Heat | 77c | 40,000$30,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,011.93 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Heat | 72c | 32,900$23,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.08 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Heat | 78c | 29,250$22,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,434.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Warriors | 22c | 28,000$6,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,160 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 23c | 26,840$6,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,055.62 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Heat | 79c | 25,046$19,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.18 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Warriors | 23c | 25,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Heat | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 32c | 23,415$7,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,526.67 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Heat | 66c | 22,676$14,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,810.31 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Heat | 78c | 21,119$16,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.23 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Warriors | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 19c | 20,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Heat | 67c | 18,614$12,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,217.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf963…0637backed Heat | 75c | 18,005$13,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Heat | 79c | 17,000$13,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 25c | 16,554$4,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,124.26 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 22c | 16,370$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.81 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Warriors | 30c | 16,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 19c | 15,221$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Warriors | 34c | 14,615$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 21c | 14,209$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.87 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Warriors | 32c | 13,332$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,218.56 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Heat | 79c | 12,658$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.23 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Heat | 79c | 12,658$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.23 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Warriors | 24c | 12,500$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.97 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Warriors | 6c | 12,286$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.12 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Heat | 67c | 12,260$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 12,019$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Heat | 68c | 12,000$8,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.75 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Warriors | 22c | 11,989$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.57 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Warriors | 3c | 10,077$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.31 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…5ae1backed Warriors | 1c | 10,052$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 24cpaid | +572.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Warriors | 22c | 9,941$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.82 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Heat | 78c | 9,831$7,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.82 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 69c | 9,495$6,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Heat | 75c | 8,988$6,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.02 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…127cbacked Warriors | 10c | 8,650$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Warriors | 29c | 8,483$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.54 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Heat | 66c | 8,026$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…9baebacked Heat | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Warriors | 33c | 7,840$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587.09 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 24c | 7,341$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.35 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 23c | 7,300$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Heat | 67c | 7,277$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 18c | 7,258$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.26 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Heat | 75c | 7,178$5,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.3 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Warriors | 16c | 6,810$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Warriors | 22c | 6,500$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.32 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Warriors | 20c | 6,187$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Warriors | 27c | 5,995$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.64 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Heat | 67c | 5,970$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.1 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Warriors | 19c | 5,881$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.56 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ee…05a7backed Heat | 65c | 5,847$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Warriors | 32c | 5,733$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.82 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Heat | 65c | 5,603$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.93 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Warriors | 33c | 5,419$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.81 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Heat | 69c | 5,397$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.3 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Heat | 80c | 5,130$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…feefbacked Heat | 78c | 5,128$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…bfadbacked Warriors | 10c | 5,052$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Warriors | 29c | 4,947$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.5 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Heat | 68c | 4,901$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.47 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Heat | 79c | 4,753$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.16 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Heat | 77c | 4,684$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.87 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 12c | 4,604$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.45 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Warriors | 22c | 4,545$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heat | 79c | 4,470$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Warriors | 7c | 4,467$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.96 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 76c | 4,289$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.88 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b4…36f0backed Warriors | 24c | 4,200$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Heat | 67c | 4,097$2,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Warriors | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Heat | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Warriors | 25c | 3,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.31 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 29c | 3,838$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.86 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Heat | 79c | 3,731$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Heat | 73c | 3,548$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.46 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…18c5backed Heat | 67c | 3,547$2,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Warriors | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Warriors | 29c | 3,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Warriors | 22c | 3,333$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Heat | 77c | 3,283$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.1 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Heat | 79c | 3,165$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.56 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Heat | 77c | 3,115$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.85 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Heat | 71c | 3,102$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.27 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-3.5)Heat won
- 1H Spread: Heat (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-6.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-8.5)Heat won
- Spread: Heat (-9.5)Heat won
- Warriors vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
- Warriors vs. Heat: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 230.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 231.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 232.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 233.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Heat: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.