Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03625fc7558c5ef5780f62cdf282961c974d3590883519ba917d45523294e815
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dame Fighting Irishof Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 76c | 35,402$26,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,466.62 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 12,500$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 11,625$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 9,861$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.59 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 2,131$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.09 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 7c | 2,032$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.47 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 11c | 2,030$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 1,532$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.6 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 1,416$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa9…1351backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 6c | 1,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 28c | 1,156$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.52 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 10c | 1,145$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 1,027$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.79 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 932.11$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 915.42$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…b542backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 863.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 28c | 800.13$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.04 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 76c | 716.24$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.86 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 9c | 690$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 75c | 507$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 434.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 433.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 426.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 29c | 423.94$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.94 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 9c | 418.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 9c | 418.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 7c | 361.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 4c | 359.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…10ebbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 352.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 73c | 322.11$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.97 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 290$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 182.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 24c | 180$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 21c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 22c | 139.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 23c | 120.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 12c | 94.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 28c | 90.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 29c | 84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 28c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…9ed8backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 40.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…2ce2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 75c | 40.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3406…3233backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…a765backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 79c | 31.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec20…fb93backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca2…2014backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb660…2b72backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 76c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 72c | 18.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…2b6bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishthis page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 140.5Under won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 143.5Under won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-5.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-6.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.