TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb660…2b72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST2290.9%20 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick73cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$6.46
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.47
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.86
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.29
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$9.33
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.84
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$3.5
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$6.29
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.32
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.29
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.59
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.18
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4.67
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3.72
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.94
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+39.8%+$6.14
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick68cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.29
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.02
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.29
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.29
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.28
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Kraken vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$2.92
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+47.1%+$5.18
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25.5%+$5.1
Sharks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-57.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Memphisbacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Western Michigan vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.44
Utah State vs. Fresno Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hawaii vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+25%+$4.5
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 5 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.35
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3)backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irishbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-11-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.