NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba38254e211c7259cddd771de33560852ed764310a94e29aef7e7d374e47bcb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Kraken, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 924 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Kraken | 40c | 72,947$29,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,066.87 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Red Wings | 62c | 47,325$29,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,983.48 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Red Wings | 61c | 38,879$23,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,306.64 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kraken | 38c | 25,111$9,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,541.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kraken | 38c | 23,441$9,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,001 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Wings | 60c | 23,362$14,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,344.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Red Wings | 60c | 9,682$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.74 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Red Wings | 60c | 8,995$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Red Wings | 60c | 8,844$5,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.47 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Kraken | 39c | 8,205$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…991bbacked Kraken | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Red Wings | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.98 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…2037backed Kraken | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.97 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…178ebacked Kraken | 39c | 6,294$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Red Wings | 68c | 5,158$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.97 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Red Wings | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Red Wings | 42c | 4,825$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.01 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 38c | 4,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…73d8backed Red Wings | 63c | 4,500$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…5325backed Kraken | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kraken | 34c | 4,499$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.25 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 62c | 4,382$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.57 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 60c | 4,293$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.33 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…53fdbacked Kraken | 38c | 4,200$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…7f88backed Red Wings | 63c | 4,200$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Wings | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kraken | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…3613backed Red Wings | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…69d0backed Kraken | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…3bebbacked Red Wings | 61c | 3,700$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kraken | 22c | 3,321$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.45 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Red Wings | 61c | 3,268$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.69 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kraken | 38c | 2,887$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.04 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,500$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.33 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kraken | 39c | 2,365$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.35 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,239$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.04 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,119$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 35c | 2,111$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,073$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.83 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Red Wings | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Kraken | 11c | 1,939$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.02 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Red Wings | 62c | 1,927$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…319dbacked Kraken | 38c | 1,850$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 38c | 1,824$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.1 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 39c | 1,821$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 39c | 1,819$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.92 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,818$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.85 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…d802backed Kraken | 2c | 1,700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 29c | 1,674$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.48 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Kraken | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.94 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken | 38c | 1,407$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.66 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 38c | 1,337$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.43 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 66c | 1,327$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.93 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,295$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.13 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kraken | 38c | 1,286$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 38c | 1,251$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.28 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 37c | 1,209$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.59 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 38c | 1,166$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.08 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,030$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.7 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…8447backed Kraken | 39c | 1,012$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.57 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12f6…6e69backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,011$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…bdb8backed Kraken | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Red Wings | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 55cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Red Wings | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Kraken | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…105bbacked Red Wings | 61c | 999.99$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Kraken | 38c | 999.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kraken | 39c | 993$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.27 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Red Wings | 62c | 985.48$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.48 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…d765backed Kraken | 39c | 974.36$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Kraken | 20c | 849.22$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 68c | 834.94$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.34 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Red Wings | 61c | 810$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Red Wings | 61c | 800.01$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…61eabacked Kraken | 20c | 800$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a90…7743backed Kraken | 40c | 800$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…045ebacked Red Wings | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed Red Wings | 61c | 790.01$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b14…f343backed Kraken | 40c | 790$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 38c | 764$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…a88ebacked Red Wings | 61c | 742.01$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…2d1dbacked Kraken | 40c | 742$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Kraken | 17c | 725.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kraken | 38c | 721.51$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d4…8713backed Kraken | 39c | 688.55$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…a709backed Red Wings | 62c | 688.55$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kraken | 20c | 665$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Red Wings | 62c | 664.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.52 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Red Wings | 62c | 625.81$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.81 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Kraken | 37c | 622.13$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…57b7backed Kraken | 38c | 584.45$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Red Wings | 63c | 584.13$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.13 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Red Wings | 78c | 558.85$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.65 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kraken | 39c | 547.38$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.48 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.