NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4f9069776c20d43e2de25dff38e82dd73f94252b84cdef5a41068cc2aa664fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,683,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,623,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,683,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 91,056$39,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,428.37 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 81,173$22,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,718.88 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 59,850$11,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,184.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 52,182$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,324.69 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Warriors | 78c | 50,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.98 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Warriors | 55c | 43,811$24,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,102.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 38,637$7,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,296.29 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Warriors | 74c | 35,943$26,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,765.35 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 35,576$9,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,982.31 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 35,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,550 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Warriors | 16c | 35,000$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.5 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 30,400$6,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,645.64 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Warriors | 73c | 27,591$20,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,159.2 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 24,845$9,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,833.18 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 23,400$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,720 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 22,694$8,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,565.76 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 21,771$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,806.03 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 19,800$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,642 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 77c | 19,700$15,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,241.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Warriors | 73c | 18,630$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.87 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 17,093$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.09 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 16,044$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,643.86 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 14,464$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.47 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Warriors | 74c | 13,798$10,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,144.91 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Warriors | 74c | 12,000$8,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,880 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 11,739$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.97 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Warriors | 74c | 10,390$7,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,721.18 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 78c | 10,362$8,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,082.36 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Warriors | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Warriors | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.99 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 9,824$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.4 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 9,746$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,797.16 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 9,065$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.07 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 9,041$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.69 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…a6e1backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 8,902$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,901.98 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2f84backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 8,705$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,441.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +138%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 8,560$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,235.78 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 8,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Warriors | 51c | 8,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 7,625$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,521.66 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 79c | 7,145$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.61 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 6,795$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.71 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 5,996$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Trail Blazers | 80c | 5,948$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.56 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 5,585$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.01 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…18d4backed Warriors | 78c | 5,500$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 5,248$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.62 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 5,050$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 4,983$3,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.66 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Warriors | 4c | 4,890$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 4,834$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.98 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…bf55backed Warriors | 63c | 4,750$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 710 | 53.9%383 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 4,600$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.78 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Warriors | 77c | 4,529$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.65 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 4,513$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.36 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 4,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 4,444$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.71 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Warriors | 24c | 4,395$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Warriors | 69c | 4,200$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,886$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.24 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 77c | 3,773$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.39 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…0f0bbacked Warriors | 79c | 3,752$2,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…1a2dbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 3,736$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Warriors | 36c | 3,735$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.81 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 3,608$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.7 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…11f6backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 3,511$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.04 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 3,440$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.15 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…3431backed Warriors | 80c | 3,408$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.64 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Warriors | 78c | 3,368$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.04 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Warriors | 79c | 3,274$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c1…73d8backed Warriors | 73c | 3,200$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…5325backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 3,200$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 3,190$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.65 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Warriors | 74c | 3,116$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.86 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,102$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.23 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 3,070$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d44…53fdbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…5ba2backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2e…7f88backed Warriors | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 3,000$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.77 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Warriors | 72c | 2,916$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.53 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 2,900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.96 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 2,872$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.8 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Warriors | 65c | 2,870$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.64 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Warriors | 52c | 2,703$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.45 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Warriors | 72c | 2,700$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…4ebebacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 2,599$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.59 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Warriors | 78c | 2,551$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,541$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.1 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49e8…3613backed Warriors | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7443…e010backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,500$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…69d0backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 2,477$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 2,184$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.5 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,173$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.37 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 2,027$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsthis page
- Spread: Warriors (-10.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Warriors (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 238.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.