NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d6f70bd65e8ef5d009958d68ae412853487ab398d25bbebe44e12d07440ef2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,127,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,208,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,127,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Suns | 64c | 188,148$120,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,733.13 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 36c | 135,934$49,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,323.94 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 8c | 87,367$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Suns | 63c | 61,762$39,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,629.99 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Suns | 64c | 39,294$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,293.54 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 36c | 32,952$11,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,862.87 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kings | 37c | 30,000$11,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,100 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Suns | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.98 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Suns | 62c | 30,000$18,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,399.88 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 7c | 25,850$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.49 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 35c | 21,287$7,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,535.09 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Suns | 78c | 20,622$15,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kings | 18c | 19,037$3,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.79 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 37c | 18,456$6,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,813.23 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kings | 9c | 18,428$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.69 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Kings | 36c | 16,940$6,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,098.41 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Kings | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 11c | 12,681$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.95 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Kings | 0c | 12,483$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19c4…4689backed Kings | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings | 38c | 9,800$3,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,724 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Kings | 37c | 9,750$3,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.46 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Suns | 63c | 7,942$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.33 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Suns | 68c | 7,883$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.48 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 37c | 7,838$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kings | 37c | 7,580$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.92 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Kings | 35c | 7,550$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.17 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Kings | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 36c | 6,874$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 37c | 6,500$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.18 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked Kings | 4c | 6,196$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 5c | 5,476$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.28 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Kings | 37c | 5,320$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.4 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Kings | 32c | 5,219$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.59 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Kings | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 36c | 4,951$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 3c | 4,886$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 37c | 4,583$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d8…20f0backed Suns | 63c | 4,510$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…0cbabacked Kings | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Kings | 37c | 4,500$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 36c | 4,424$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.68 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…f874backed Kings | 39c | 4,336$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 37c | 4,285$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.45 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 38c | 4,050$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 32c | 3,924$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.62 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Kings | 37c | 3,672$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.76 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 37c | 3,558$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.87 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Kings | 36c | 3,536$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.95 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Suns | 63c | 3,500$2,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kings | 38c | 3,333$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.49 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Kings | 8c | 3,299$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.13 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Kings | 23c | 3,259$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.09 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 15c | 3,178$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.2 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Suns | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Kings | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…c350backed Suns | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kings | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Kings | 16c | 2,587$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.67 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 2c | 2,570$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kings | 5c | 2,517$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…74c8backed Kings | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Kings | 6c | 2,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Suns | 72c | 2,272$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Kings | 8c | 2,222$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Kings | 33c | 2,215$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.43 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Kings | 6c | 2,115$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.56 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Kings | 5c | 2,035$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Kings | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kings | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kings | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Suns | 66c | 2,000$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.98 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Kings | 7c | 1,914$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Suns | 64c | 1,773$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.44 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kings | 36c | 1,700$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.98 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…7b3dbacked Suns | 63c | 1,694$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.2 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…a633backed Suns | 62c | 1,630$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.4 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…d8d7backed Kings | 1c | 1,617$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Kings | 37c | 1,617$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.07 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Suns | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 38c | 1,556$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.28 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kings | 39c | 1,547$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.33 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Kings | 37c | 1,518$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.52 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kings | 1c | 1,516$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…ef8dbacked Suns | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kings | 37c | 1,500$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.68 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Kings | 14c | 1,407$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Kings | 38c | 1,400$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…8c8dbacked Kings | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Kings | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kings | 36c | 1,359$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Kings | 17c | 1,343$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.34 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Kings | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 38c | 1,291$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.27 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Kings | 14c | 1,270$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Kings | 9c | 1,142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Suns | 63c | 1,137$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.51 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kings | 30c | 1,116$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Kingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Suns (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-3.5)Suns won
- Spread: Suns (-4.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Suns vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.