TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Kings, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$700,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$709,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $700,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c57…c94dbacked Kings63c273,693$171,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,468.554264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Kings54c180,669$97,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,460.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sharks54c89,126$48,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,725.938748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Sharks46c80,170$36,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,401.9444848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sharks37c52,885$19,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,293.78952.8%47 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Sharks37c32,671$12,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,558.4522150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Sharks38c26,078$9,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,168.4851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Sharks38c24,730$9,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,351.332251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Sharks62c20,984$12,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.410352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Sharks37c19,753$7,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,411.3828353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings32c15,598$5,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,029.681,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sharks50c15,407$7,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,730.1641850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Sharks38c13,000$4,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,0603855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Sharks37c12,218$4,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,697.3424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sharks37c10,890$4,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,860.8530152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Kings75c10,515$7,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,920.43964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Sharks37c10,037$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,323.781,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Kings1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kings61c7,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,269.9889547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Sharks37c5,705$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.2957453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Sharks37c5,405$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.155848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Sharks38c5,405$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.0931148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Sharks39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0506657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kings60c4,996$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.8666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Sharks55c4,745$2,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.3438738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Sharks50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30062951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Sharks38c4,500$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,79030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Sharks48c4,250$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,192.575251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Sharks37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52022546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Sharks37c3,776$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.685259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Sharks69c3,760$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.0913363.2%84 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Sharks37c3,728$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,348.647659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Sharks37c3,679$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,317.792955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kings43c3,623$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.6827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Sharks55c3,181$1,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.297163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sharks58c3,044$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.5961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Sharks37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked Sharks37c2,973$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.974055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Sharks51c2,946$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.4617057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks26c2,892$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.162,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Sharks44c2,741$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.0310565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Kings62c2,601$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60012548%60 W · 65 L-15.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Sharks42c2,500$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.1111946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks40c2,500$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings25c2,436$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.522,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Sharks37c2,432$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.4314848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Sharks37c2,370$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.12360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x554a…09c8backed Kings48c2,322$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.562839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sharks38c2,297$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.711,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Sharks37c2,200$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.9351044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Kings43c2,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Kings1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Sharks39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2201752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Kings61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22026547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9416…991bbacked Sharks39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Sharks51c1,976$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.394067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks70c1,940$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.11,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks38c1,924$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.7469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Sharks38c1,868$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.4226946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Kings54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Sharks37c1,806$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.633056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Sharks16c1,775$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.5518237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Sharks37c1,754$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.053551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings46c1,714$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.111,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Sharks39c1,616$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.8937857.4%217 W · 161 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks37c1,600$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00824845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd3…1110backed Kings62c1,599$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings61c1,559$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.2562249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Sharks61c1,498$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.899949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Sharks39c1,410$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.269347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Sharks47c1,395$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.3313448.5%65 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked Sharks37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7990…53d0backed Kings62c1,280$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Sharks37c1,271$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.7387447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Sharks51c1,253$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.4829551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kings1c1,221$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.217450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd95…2268backed Sharks39c1,150$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Sharks38c1,130$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.310554.3%57 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kings60c1,104$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.8263249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f3…72fcbacked Kings5c1,100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84c3…7b91backed Kings61c1,100$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Kings54c1,043$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.5511051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Sharks37c1,038$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65448452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Sharks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62014451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked Sharks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62011253.6%60 W · 52 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Sharks40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60020144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Sharks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Sharks37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Kings16c999.81$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.975425.9%14 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd6…25c5backed Sharks39c960$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.61464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6771…b783backed Kings61c922$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.422161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7089backed Kings59c912.19$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.855151%26 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Sharks48c889.56$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0e…6576backed Sharks54c849.8$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Kings42c833.66$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505837.9%22 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ce…3ba3backed Kings62c830$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95bb…f28bbacked Sharks39c810$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.11656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sharks59c806.45$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.5858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x663c…1fe9backed Kings62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4961442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.